The Houston Texans show mixed results as home underdog. Since 2014, they're 7-6-0 against the spread—a 0.0% win rate with an ROI of +2.8%. While not a strong standalone angle, this data provides valuable context when combined with other factors.

⚖ Neutral
Record7-6-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size13 games
ROI+2.8%
Units Won+0.4u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20152-0-00.0%+90.9%
20171-1-00.0%-4.5%
20190-1-00.0%-100.0%
20210-1-00.0%-100.0%
20222-2-00.0%-4.5%
20230-1-00.0%-100.0%
20242-0-00.0%+90.9%

Why This Trend Exists

The Texans' solid performance as home underdogs stems from their organizational identity as a scrappy, defense-first franchise that thrives when expectations are lowered. Houston has historically built teams around opportunistic defensive units and game-managing quarterbacks who excel in controlled environments. When oddsmakers doubt them at NRG Stadium, the Texans benefit from reduced pressure and the ability to play their preferred style of complementary football. Home field advantage becomes magnified for Houston when they're getting points because their defensive schemes are particularly effective in familiar surroundings. The Texans have consistently fielded units that create short fields through turnovers and special teams play, making modest point spreads easier to cover even when they don't win outright. Their coaching staff has shown a knack for preparing motivated game plans when disrespected by the betting market. The psychological element cannot be ignored either. Houston players and coaches have repeatedly referenced using underdog status as motivation, particularly in front of their home crowd. This creates an environment where the team often plays above their talent level. This trend carries the most weight when the Texans are small home underdogs of three points or fewer, where their defensive reliability and home comfort can easily swing close games in their favor.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Houston Texans's ATS record as home underdog?

The Houston Texans have a 7-6-0 ATS record as home underdogs from 2014-2024. This represents 13 total games where they were favored to lose at home.

Is betting on the Houston Texans as home underdog profitable?

Yes, betting on the Houston Texans as home underdogs has been profitable with a 2.8% ROI from 2014-2024. Despite a 0.0% straight-up win rate, they've covered the spread often enough to generate positive returns.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Texans' 53.8% ATS cover rate as home underdogs is slightly above the typical 50% break-even point. The 2.8% ROI indicates modest but consistent value compared to random betting outcomes.

ANALYZE This Trend

This trend is near break-even. Combine with other factors and compare odds before placing any bets.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.