Houston Texans Home After 2+ Losses Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Houston Texans in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home after 2+ losses, the Houston Texans are just 17-20-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -12.3% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +12.3%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2015 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2016 | 1-3-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2017 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2018 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2019 | 0-4-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2020 | 2-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2021 | 1-5-0 | 0.0% | -68.2% |
| 2022 | 3-2-0 | 0.0% | +14.6% |
| 2023 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2024 | 5-1-0 | 0.0% | +59.1% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Texans' struggles at home following multiple losses reflect deeper organizational instability that has plagued the franchise for years. Houston's coaching carousel and frequent front office changes create an environment where adversity compounds rather than galvanizes the team. When facing consecutive defeats, the Texans often lack the leadership structure and veteran presence needed to steady the ship in front of their home crowd. The franchise's quarterback instability has been particularly damaging in these bounce-back spots. Without consistent signal-caller play, Houston struggles to establish offensive rhythm when already reeling from losses. Their defense, while talented at times, has historically been susceptible to big plays when confidence is shaken, making them vulnerable to covering spreads even in winnable home games. Houston's young roster construction also plays a role, as inexperienced players tend to press rather than execute fundamentals when facing mounting pressure. The team's tendency to abandon their running game early when trailing has created predictable offensive patterns that opponents exploit. Bettors should be particularly wary of backing Houston at home when they're coming off back-to-back road losses or defeats to division rivals, as these scenarios amplify the psychological burden on an already fragile franchise foundation.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Houston Texans's ATS record as home after 2+ losses?
The Houston Texans have an ATS record of 17-20-0 when playing at home after suffering 2 or more consecutive losses from 2014-2024. This represents a 45.9% ATS win rate over 37 games.
Is betting on the Houston Texans as home after 2+ losses profitable?
No, betting on the Houston Texans at home after 2+ losses is not profitable. The strategy shows a -12.3% ROI with a 0.0% straight-up win rate, indicating consistent losses for bettors.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is below the typical 50% ATS baseline expected in NFL betting. The 45.9% ATS rate and negative ROI suggest the Texans have struggled to cover spreads in this specific situation compared to league norms.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.