Houston Texans Away Favorite After a Loss Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Houston Texans in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away favorite after a loss, the Houston Texans are just 6-8-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -18.2% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +18.2%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2016 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2017 | 2-2-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2018 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2019 | 1-2-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2021 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2022 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2023 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Texans' struggles as road favorites following losses stem from a franchise that has historically lacked the mental fortitude and leadership depth to respond effectively to adversity. Houston's organizational culture has been marked by inconsistent coaching philosophies and quarterback instability, making it difficult for the team to maintain composure when facing the dual pressure of bouncing back from defeat while being expected to win on hostile territory. When the Texans lose, their offensive identity often becomes muddled, particularly in road environments where communication breakdowns are amplified. The franchise has cycled through numerous signal-callers and offensive coordinators, creating a system where players lack confidence in their ability to execute under pressure. This manifests as conservative play-calling and tentative execution when they're favored away from home, leading to underwhelming performances against teams they should theoretically handle. The psychological burden of being road favorites after a loss creates a perfect storm for Houston. Teams coming off defeats often press too hard to make statements, while road favorites face inflated expectations that don't account for the emotional toll of recent failure. This trend carries the most weight when the Texans are moderate road favorites (3-7 points) facing divisional opponents, where familiarity breeds additional complications in their recovery process.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Houston Texans's ATS record as away favorite after a loss?
The Houston Texans have a 6-8-0 ATS record as away favorites after a loss from 2014-2024. This translates to a 42.9% ATS win rate in this specific situation.
Is betting on the Houston Texans as away favorite after a loss profitable?
No, betting on the Houston Texans as away favorites after a loss has not been profitable. The strategy shows a -18.2% ROI with a 0.0% straight-up win rate over the past decade.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is significantly below league average, as most teams typically win around 50% of their games as favorites. The Texans' 0.0% win rate in this situation is exceptionally poor compared to standard expectations.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.