The public often underestimates the Green Bay Packers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as vs conference opponent, the Green Bay Packers hold a record of 16-13-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +5.3% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $2 over this period.

✅ Profitable
Record16-13-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size29 games
ROI+5.3%
Units Won+1.6u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20142-0-00.0%+90.9%
20151-0-00.0%+90.9%
20160-2-00.0%-100.0%
20171-2-00.0%-36.4%
20181-2-00.0%-36.4%
20193-2-00.0%+14.6%
20202-0-00.0%+90.9%
20221-1-00.0%-4.5%
20231-2-00.0%-36.4%
20244-2-00.0%+27.3%

Why This Trend Exists

The Packers' solid performance against conference opponents stems from their deep familiarity with NFC divisional rivals and consistent organizational culture under the Lambeau mystique. Green Bay's home-field advantage becomes particularly pronounced in cold-weather months when visiting NFC teams struggle with the frozen tundra conditions that Packers players have trained in all season. Their coaching staff historically excels at game-planning against familiar opponents, having faced the same NFC North rivals twice annually and maintaining extensive scouting reports on other conference teams. Aaron Rodgers' tenure provided exceptional value in these matchups due to his ability to exploit defensive tendencies he'd seen repeatedly. The Packers' offensive system traditionally emphasizes precision timing routes that become more effective against defenses they've studied extensively. Additionally, Green Bay's front office has consistently built rosters designed to compete within their conference structure, prioritizing skill sets that match up well against common NFC offensive philosophies. Bettors should focus on this trend during divisional games and playoff scenarios where the Packers face conference opponents in meaningful late-season contests. The edge becomes most valuable when Green Bay is playing at home against NFC teams in November and December, particularly when weather conditions favor their cold-weather preparation advantage.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Green Bay Packers's ATS record as vs conference opponent?

The Green Bay Packers have a 16-13-0 against the spread (ATS) record when playing conference opponents from 2014-2024. This represents a 55.2% ATS win rate over 29 games.

Is betting on the Green Bay Packers as vs conference opponent profitable?

Yes, betting on the Green Bay Packers against conference opponents has been profitable with a 5.3% return on investment (ROI). Despite the positive ROI, bettors should note the 0.0% win rate indicates break-even performance.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Packers' 55.2% ATS win rate against conference opponents is above the typical 50% baseline expected in spread betting. Their 5.3% ROI suggests slightly better than average performance compared to most NFL teams in similar situations.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.