Green Bay Packers Primetime Underdog Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Green Bay Packers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as primetime underdog, the Green Bay Packers hold a record of 28-13-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +30.4% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $12 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 4-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2015 | 1-2-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2016 | 2-2-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2017 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2018 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2019 | 3-1-0 | 0.0% | +43.2% |
| 2020 | 3-1-0 | 0.0% | +43.2% |
| 2021 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2022 | 5-3-0 | 0.0% | +19.3% |
| 2023 | 2-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2024 | 4-1-0 | 0.0% | +52.7% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Packers' exceptional performance as primetime underdogs stems from their organizational culture of thriving when doubted. Green Bay's small-market identity creates a chip-on-the-shoulder mentality that intensifies under the bright lights when oddsmakers favor their opponents. The franchise has consistently attracted competitors who relish proving skeptics wrong, particularly when Aaron Rodgers was at the helm during this sample period. Strategically, the Packers benefit from extra preparation time that typically accompanies primetime games. Their coaching staff has historically excelled at game-planning when given additional days to prepare, often finding creative ways to exploit defensive weaknesses that weren't apparent in standard weekly preparation cycles. The team's offensive system, built around precision timing and complex route combinations, particularly benefits from this extended preparation window. The psychological edge becomes most pronounced when Green Bay faces teams with superior regular-season records or higher public perception. Their veteran leadership has consistently elevated performance levels when the national spotlight creates additional pressure, turning perceived disadvantages into motivational fuel. This trend carries the most weight when the Packers are catching points against NFC North rivals or playoff contenders in marquee matchups, where their proven ability to exceed expectations becomes most valuable for contrarian bettors.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Green Bay Packers's ATS record as primetime underdog?
The Green Bay Packers have a 28-13-0 ATS record as primetime underdogs from 2014-2024. This represents an impressive 68.3% ATS win rate over 41 games.
Is betting on the Green Bay Packers as primetime underdog profitable?
Yes, betting on the Green Bay Packers as primetime underdogs has been highly profitable with a 30.4% ROI. Despite a 0.0% straight-up win rate, they consistently cover the spread in these situations.
How does this compare to the league average?
This 68.3% ATS rate significantly exceeds the typical 52.4% break-even point for profitable betting. The Packers' performance as primetime underdogs is well above league average for underdog situations.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.