The public often underestimates the Green Bay Packers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home underdog, the Green Bay Packers hold a record of 17-6-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +41.1% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $9 over this period.

🔥 Elite Edge
Record17-6-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size23 games
ROI+41.1%
Units Won+9.4u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20141-0-00.0%+90.9%
20151-1-00.0%-4.5%
20161-0-00.0%+90.9%
20171-1-00.0%-4.5%
20181-0-00.0%+90.9%
20193-1-00.0%+43.2%
20201-0-00.0%+90.9%
20211-0-00.0%+90.9%
20224-3-00.0%+9.1%
20231-0-00.0%+90.9%
20242-0-00.0%+90.9%

Why This Trend Exists

The Packers' exceptional performance as home underdogs stems from a perfect storm of psychological and strategic advantages that create tremendous betting value. When oddsmakers doubt Green Bay at Lambeau Field, they're often underestimating the franchise's deep-rooted culture of resilience and the unique atmospheric pressure that frozen tundra creates for visiting teams. Aaron Rodgers thrived in these spots throughout his tenure, displaying an almost supernatural ability to elevate his game when disrespected by the betting market. Lambeau Field's notorious conditions become an even greater equalizer when the Packers enter as underdogs, typically indicating they're facing superior talent on paper. However, December and January games in Green Bay have historically neutralized speed advantages and forced opponents into uncomfortable, grind-it-out contests that favor the home team's familiarity with brutal conditions. The organization's championship pedigree also means they rarely panic when trailing, instead methodically wearing down opponents who expect easier victories. The most actionable insight for bettors is recognizing that home underdog spots often signal temporary adversity rather than fundamental decline for this franchise. This trend carries maximum weight during cold-weather games against warm-climate teams or when Green Bay faces perceived powerhouses in primetime spots where public perception drives inflated lines.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Green Bay Packers's ATS record as home underdog?

The Green Bay Packers have an outstanding 17-6-0 ATS record as home underdogs from 2014-2024. This represents a 73.9% cover rate in games where they were favored to lose at Lambeau Field.

Is betting on the Green Bay Packers as home underdog profitable?

Yes, betting on the Packers as home underdogs has been extremely profitable with a 41.1% ROI from 2014-2024. This means a $100 bettor would have profited $41.10 for every $100 wagered on this trend.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance significantly outperforms the league average, as most teams struggle to cover spreads consistently over long periods. A 73.9% ATS rate and 41.1% ROI represents elite contrarian value in the betting market.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.