Green Bay Packers Away Underdog Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Green Bay Packers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away underdog, the Green Bay Packers hold a record of 11-7-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +16.7% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $3 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 3-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2015 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2016 | 1-2-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2018 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2020 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2021 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2022 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2023 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2024 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Packers' success as away underdogs stems from their organizational culture of thriving under adversity, a trait deeply embedded since the Lombardi era. Green Bay's veteran leadership and Aaron Rodgers' clutch gene create a team that elevates its play when disrespected by oddsmakers. The franchise's small-market mentality breeds a chip-on-the-shoulder attitude that manifests most clearly when traveling to hostile environments where they're expected to lose. Strategically, Matt LaFleur's offensive system maximizes Rodgers' pre-snap recognition skills, allowing the Packers to exploit defensive schemes that opponents prepare specifically for underdog situations. Teams often play more conservatively with leads against underdogs, creating opportunities for Green Bay's explosive passing attack to strike quickly. The Packers' experience in primetime and playoff atmospheres translates to composure in high-pressure road spots where younger teams might falter. The key betting insight here is targeting Green Bay as road underdogs against division rivals or in revenge spots, where motivation aligns with their natural contrarian tendencies. This trend carries the most weight in October through December when playoff implications intensify and the Packers' veteran savvy becomes most pronounced in hostile road environments.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Green Bay Packers's ATS record as away underdog?
The Green Bay Packers have an 11-7-0 ATS record as away underdogs from 2014-2024. This translates to a 61.1% ATS win rate over 18 games in this situation.
Is betting on the Green Bay Packers as away underdog profitable?
Yes, betting on the Packers as away underdogs has been profitable with a 16.7% ROI from 2014-2024. Despite covering the spread at a strong rate, their 0.0% straight-up win rate indicates they typically lose these games while keeping them close.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Packers' 61.1% ATS win rate as away underdogs significantly outperforms the typical league average of around 50%. Their 16.7% ROI demonstrates exceptional value in this specific betting situation over the past decade.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.