Green Bay Packers Away After 2+ Wins Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Green Bay Packers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away after 2+ wins, the Green Bay Packers are just 17-31-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -32.4% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +32.4%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 4-1-0 | 0.0% | +52.7% |
| 2015 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2016 | 1-6-0 | 0.0% | -72.7% |
| 2017 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2018 | 2-7-0 | 0.0% | -57.6% |
| 2019 | 1-2-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2020 | 2-5-0 | 0.0% | -45.5% |
| 2021 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2022 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2023 | 2-2-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2024 | 3-2-0 | 0.0% | +14.6% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Packers' struggles as road favorites after multiple wins stem from a dangerous combination of overconfidence and the NFL's competitive balance. Green Bay has historically leaned heavily on Aaron Rodgers' arm talent and home-field advantage at Lambeau Field, creating a team identity that doesn't always translate well to hostile environments when expectations are elevated. When riding a winning streak, the Packers often face opponents who are desperate and playing with house money. Road teams getting points after the home team has won multiple games typically represent excellent value because the betting public overvalues recent success while underestimating how difficult it is to maintain peak performance on the road in the NFL. Green Bay's offensive system, while explosive, can become predictable when teams have multiple weeks of film to study. The Packers' defense has also been inconsistent throughout this sample period, making them vulnerable to letdown performances when they're expected to dominate weaker opponents away from home. Smart bettors should consider fading Green Bay in these spots, particularly when they're laying more than a field goal on the road after winning consecutive games. This trend carries the most weight early in seasons when line movements haven't fully adjusted to team realities.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Green Bay Packers's ATS record as away after 2+ wins?
The Green Bay Packers have gone 17-31-0 against the spread when playing away after winning 2 or more consecutive games from 2014-2024. This represents a 35.4% ATS win rate over 48 total games.
Is betting on the Green Bay Packers as away after 2+ wins profitable?
No, betting on the Green Bay Packers as away favorites after 2+ wins has been unprofitable with a -32.4% ROI. This trend shows consistent underperformance against expectations in this specific situation.
How does this compare to the league average?
This 35.4% ATS win rate is significantly below the expected 50% league average for ATS betting. The Packers have struggled particularly as road favorites following winning streaks, making this a fade-worthy trend.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.