The data suggests caution when backing the Green Bay Packers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away games, the Green Bay Packers are just 18-31-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -29.9% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +29.9%.

🚫 Strong Fade
Record18-31-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size49 games
ROI-29.9%
Units Won-14.6u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20145-1-00.0%+59.1%
20151-1-00.0%-4.5%
20161-6-00.0%-72.7%
20170-3-00.0%-100.0%
20182-7-00.0%-57.6%
20191-2-00.0%-36.4%
20202-5-00.0%-45.5%
20210-1-00.0%-100.0%
20221-1-00.0%-4.5%
20232-2-00.0%-4.5%
20243-2-00.0%+14.6%

Why This Trend Exists

The Packers' struggles against the spread in away games stem from their historical reliance on Lambeau Field's unique advantages and Aaron Rodgers' home comfort zone. Green Bay has traditionally been a dome-to-outdoor weather team that thrives in familiar conditions, making them vulnerable when facing hostile environments and unfamiliar playing surfaces. Their offensive system, particularly during the Rodgers era, has been built around precise timing and communication that gets disrupted by crowd noise and different field conditions. The psychological factor cannot be understated - Green Bay has often entered road games as public favorites due to their brand recognition and quarterback play, creating inflated lines that savvy bettors can exploit. The team's tendency to start slow in away contests, combined with their reputation for dramatic comebacks, has historically made them poor first-half covers while occasionally salvaging games late. Bettors should be particularly cautious backing Green Bay as road favorites, especially in divisional matchups where familiarity breeds competitive games regardless of talent disparity. This trend becomes most significant during primetime road games and playoff scenarios, where the pressure amplifies and the Packers' road demons tend to resurface when the stakes are highest.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Green Bay Packers's ATS record as away games?

The Green Bay Packers have an 18-31-0 ATS record in away games from 2014-2024, covering the spread in only 36.7% of their road contests.

Is betting on the Green Bay Packers as away games profitable?

No, betting on the Green Bay Packers in away games has not been profitable, showing a -29.9% ROI over this period. This represents significant losses for bettors backing the Packers on the road.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is well below the league average of approximately 50% ATS coverage. The Packers' 36.7% road ATS rate ranks among the worst in the NFL over this timeframe.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.