Detroit Lions vs Non-Conference Opponent Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Detroit Lions in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as vs non-conference opponent, the Detroit Lions are just 15-19-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -15.8% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +15.8%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 3-4-0 | 0.0% | -18.2% |
| 2015 | 2-2-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2017 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2018 | 2-2-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2019 | 1-3-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2020 | 2-3-0 | 0.0% | -23.6% |
| 2021 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2022 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2023 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2024 | 2-2-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Lions' struggles against non-conference opponents stem from their historical identity as a franchise that has thrived on familiarity and divisional rivalries. Detroit's coaching staffs have traditionally built game plans around intimate knowledge of NFC North opponents, studying their tendencies twice yearly. When facing AFC teams they see once every four years, this preparation advantage evaporates, leaving them vulnerable to unfamiliar schemes and personnel packages. Detroit's defensive coordinators have consistently struggled with the stylistic differences between conferences. AFC offenses often employ different route concepts and blocking schemes than what the Lions practice against weekly in the NFC North. The team's recent improvement under Dan Campbell has been built on emotional momentum and crowd energy at Ford Field, but non-conference games often lack the heated rivalry atmosphere that elevates Detroit's performance. The franchise's rebuilding cycles have also coincided poorly with their non-conference rotation timing. When Detroit fields competitive rosters, they're often facing AFC divisions during down years, while their weaker seasons align with stronger AFC opposition. Bettors should exercise extreme caution when backing Detroit against AFC opponents, particularly on the road where they lose their crowd advantage. This trend carries the most weight during interconference matchups featuring playoff-caliber AFC teams visiting Ford Field.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Detroit Lions's ATS record as vs non-conference opponent?
The Detroit Lions have a 15-19-0 ATS record when playing against non-conference opponents from 2014-2024. This translates to a 44.1% cover rate over 34 games.
Is betting on the Detroit Lions as vs non-conference opponent profitable?
No, betting on the Detroit Lions against non-conference opponents has not been profitable, with a -15.8% ROI from 2014-2024. This means bettors would have lost approximately 15.8% of their total wagers over this period.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Lions' 44.1% ATS cover rate against non-conference opponents is below the expected 50% break-even rate. This underperformance against the spread suggests they have consistently failed to meet betting expectations in these matchups.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.