The public often underestimates the Detroit Lions in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as as underdog, the Detroit Lions hold a record of 29-17-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +20.4% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $9 over this period.

🔥 Elite Edge
Record29-17-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size46 games
ROI+20.4%
Units Won+9.4u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20144-2-00.0%+27.3%
20155-2-00.0%+36.4%
20163-2-00.0%+14.6%
20173-1-00.0%+43.2%
20183-1-00.0%+43.2%
20193-1-00.0%+43.2%
20202-1-00.0%+27.3%
20211-2-00.0%-36.4%
20223-1-00.0%+43.2%
20230-3-00.0%-100.0%
20242-1-00.0%+27.3%

Why This Trend Exists

The Lions' impressive underdog performance stems from a franchise historically built to exceed lowered expectations. Detroit has operated as a scrappy, developmental organization for much of this period, creating a culture where players consistently outperform their talent level when facing superior opponents. The team's coaching staff has shown particular skill at game-planning against better teams, often employing aggressive fourth-down decisions and unconventional strategies that catch favored opponents off-guard. Detroit's underdog success also reflects the betting market's tendency to overreact to the Lions' inconsistencies. Public perception often lags behind roster improvements, creating value when the team faces quality opponents. The Lions have historically played with more intensity in meaningful games against better competition, while their struggles often come against teams they're expected to beat. The psychological element cannot be ignored - this franchise has conditioned itself to embrace the underdog role, leading to focused preparation and execution when expectations are minimal. Players and coaches alike seem to thrive when external pressure is reduced. This trend matters most in divisional matchups and primetime games, where the Lions' familiarity with opponents and elevated motivation create the perfect storm for covering inflated spreads against superior competition.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Detroit Lions's ATS record as as underdog?

The Detroit Lions have a 29-17-0 against the spread (ATS) record when playing as underdogs from 2014-2024. This gives them a strong 63.0% ATS win rate in underdog situations.

Is betting on the Detroit Lions as as underdog profitable?

Yes, betting on the Detroit Lions as underdogs has been highly profitable with a 20.4% return on investment (ROI). Their 29-17 ATS record demonstrates consistent value when getting points.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Lions' 63.0% ATS win rate as underdogs significantly outperforms the typical league average of around 50%. Their 20.4% ROI indicates they've been one of the most profitable underdog bets in the NFL during this period.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

Compare Sportsbook Odds

Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.