The data suggests caution when backing the Detroit Lions in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home games, the Detroit Lions are just 19-25-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -17.6% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +17.6%.

🚫 Strong Fade
Record19-25-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size44 games
ROI-17.6%
Units Won-7.7u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20140-5-00.0%-100.0%
20155-2-00.0%+36.4%
20161-1-00.0%-4.5%
20173-0-00.0%+90.9%
20183-2-00.0%+14.6%
20192-3-00.0%-23.6%
20203-2-00.0%+14.6%
20211-3-00.0%-52.3%
20220-2-00.0%-100.0%
20230-3-00.0%-100.0%
20241-2-00.0%-36.4%

Why This Trend Exists

The Lions' home struggles stem from a combination of organizational instability and the unique pressure cooker environment at Ford Field. Detroit has cycled through multiple coaching staffs and systems during this period, creating inconsistency in game planning and player development that becomes magnified in front of expectant home crowds. The franchise's historical tendency to play down to competition while simultaneously being overvalued by oddsmakers creates a perfect storm for ATS disappointment. Ford Field's indoor environment should theoretically benefit Detroit's offensive schemes, yet the Lions have consistently failed to capitalize on familiar conditions. The team's propensity for late-game collapses appears amplified at home, where fan expectations and media scrutiny intensify pressure situations. Detroit's defensive units have particularly struggled to generate the crowd-assisted momentum that typically benefits home teams, often allowing opponents to control tempo and dictate game flow. The psychological weight of decades of disappointment creates a self-perpetuating cycle where players press too hard in crucial moments, leading to penalties, turnovers, and blown coverages. Bettors should be especially cautious when Detroit is favored at home against divisional opponents, as these games carry the highest emotional stakes and have produced the most devastating ATS results. This trend matters most during prime-time home games and divisional matchups where public money heavily backs the Lions.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Detroit Lions's ATS record as home games?

The Detroit Lions have an ATS record of 19-25-0 in home games from 2014-2024, covering the spread in 43.2% of their home contests.

Is betting on the Detroit Lions as home games profitable?

No, betting on the Detroit Lions in home games has not been profitable, producing a -17.6% ROI over the 2014-2024 period with consistent losses against the spread.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Lions' 43.2% home ATS win rate is significantly below the league average of approximately 50%, making them one of the less reliable home teams to bet on during this timeframe.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

Compare Sportsbook Odds

Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.