Detroit Lions Favorite After 3+ Game Losing Streak Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Detroit Lions in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as favorite after 3+ game losing streak, the Detroit Lions are just 9-21-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -42.7% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +42.7%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 1-3-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2015 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2016 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2017 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2018 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2019 | 2-3-0 | 0.0% | -23.6% |
| 2020 | 2-2-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2021 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2022 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2023 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2024 | 2-2-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Lions' struggles as favorites following extended losing streaks reveal a franchise historically ill-equipped to handle the psychological weight of expectation during vulnerable periods. Detroit's organizational culture has long been defined by inconsistency and late-season collapses, making it difficult for players to embrace the favorite's role when confidence is already shattered from multiple consecutive defeats. When the Lions find themselves favored after losing three or more straight games, it typically indicates the betting market has identified an opponent perceived as even weaker. However, Detroit's tendency to play down to competition while carrying the emotional baggage of recent failures creates a perfect storm for underperformance. The team often appears tight and overthinking in these spots, lacking the killer instinct needed to cover spreads when expected to bounce back. The franchise's historical inability to develop consistent leadership and maintain composure under pressure compounds these issues. Players and coaches alike seem to press when carrying public expectations, leading to conservative game plans and tentative execution that rarely produces the dominant performances needed to cover larger spreads. This trend carries the most weight when Detroit is laying points at home following a losing streak, where fan expectations and media scrutiny intensify the psychological burden.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Detroit Lions's ATS record as favorite after 3+ game losing streak?
The Detroit Lions have an ATS record of 9-21-0 (30%) when favored after a 3+ game losing streak from 2014-2024. This represents 30 total games where they were betting favorites following extended losing streaks.
Is betting on the Detroit Lions as favorite after 3+ game losing streak profitable?
No, betting on the Detroit Lions as favorites after 3+ game losing streaks is not profitable, showing a -42.7% ROI. Despite being favored by oddsmakers, they have failed to cover the spread in 70% of these situations.
How does this compare to the league average?
This 30% ATS rate is significantly below the expected 50% league average for favorites covering spreads. The Lions' 0.0% straight-up win rate in these spots indicates they lose outright when favored after losing streaks, making this one of the worst betting trends in the NFL.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.