The Detroit Lions show mixed results as away favorite. Since 2014, they're 7-7-0 against the spread—a 0.0% win rate with an ROI of -4.5%. While not a strong standalone angle, this data provides valuable context when combined with other factors.

⚖ Neutral
Record7-7-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size14 games
ROI-4.5%
Units Won-0.6u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20141-1-00.0%-4.5%
20160-2-00.0%-100.0%
20171-1-00.0%-4.5%
20180-1-00.0%-100.0%
20192-1-00.0%+27.3%
20231-0-00.0%+90.9%
20242-1-00.0%+27.3%

Why This Trend Exists

The Lions' struggles as road favorites stem from a franchise historically unaccustomed to being in that position. Detroit spent decades as perennial underdogs, creating a psychological dynamic where the team often plays better when expectations are low. When installed as favorites away from home, the Lions face the dual pressure of justifying the betting market's confidence while playing in hostile environments. Detroit's offensive identity under Dan Campbell relies heavily on establishing physicality and momentum through their running game. Road environments naturally disrupt this rhythm, particularly when opposing crowds are energized by facing a favored opponent. The Lions' aggressive fourth-down philosophy, while effective at Ford Field, becomes riskier on the road where field position and crowd energy shifts can compound quickly after failed conversions. The franchise's recent improvement under Campbell has created more opportunities to be road favorites, but the sample size remains small enough that variance plays a significant role. Detroit's blue-collar mentality often thrives in underdog scenarios where they can play loose and physical. This trend matters most early in seasons when the Lions are still proving their legitimacy, or in divisional road games where familiarity breeds competitive matchups regardless of perceived talent gaps.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Detroit Lions's ATS record as away favorite?

The Detroit Lions have a 7-7-0 ATS record as away favorites from 2014-2024. This represents a 50% ATS win rate over 14 games in this situation.

Is betting on the Detroit Lions as away favorite profitable?

No, betting on the Detroit Lions as away favorites has not been profitable, showing a -4.5% ROI from 2014-2024. Despite their .500 ATS record, bettors would have lost money due to juice/vig on losing bets.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Lions' 50% ATS rate as away favorites is slightly below the typical league average of around 52-53% for favorites. Their -4.5% ROI also underperforms compared to successful betting strategies that typically target positive ROI.

ANALYZE This Trend

This trend is near break-even. Combine with other factors and compare odds before placing any bets.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.