Denver Broncos Large Favorite (-7.5+) Betting Trend

The Broncos' struggles as heavy favorites stem from their organizational instability and quarterback carousel that has plagued the franchise since Peyton Manning's retirement. Denver has cycled through numerous signal-callers and coaching staffs, creating an identity crisis that manifests most clearly when expectations are highest. Teams laying significant spreads need offensive firepower to pull away from inferior opponents, but the Broncos have consistently lacked the explosive passing attack necessary to cover large numbers. Denver's defensive-minded approach, while effective in keeping games close, works against them as big favorites. Their methodical, field-position style tends to produce grinding victories rather than blowouts. When facing weaker opponents, the Broncos often play down to their competition's level, allowing backdoor covers or outright upsets. The franchise's recent emphasis on running the ball and controlling clock further limits their ceiling in games where they need to separate themselves. The psychological element cannot be ignored either. Denver players and coaches have shown a tendency to ease up once they establish leads, particularly against teams they perceive as inferior. This complacency has repeatedly cost bettors who backed the Broncos at inflated numbers. This trend matters most when Denver faces divisional opponents or teams with nothing to lose late in the season.