Denver Broncos Home Favorite Betting Trend

The Broncos' struggles as home favorites stem from a fundamental mismatch between market expectations and organizational reality during their post-Super Bowl 50 decline. Denver's reputation as an elite franchise, bolstered by their championship pedigree and historically strong home-field advantage at Mile High, consistently inflated betting lines beyond what their actual roster talent could support. The thin air advantage that once made Denver nearly unbeatable at home became less impactful as the team's defensive dominance waned and quarterback instability plagued the offense. Denver's coaching carousel and frequent personnel changes created an identity crisis that manifested most clearly in games where they were expected to dominate. The pressure of being favored at home exposed weaknesses in game planning and execution, particularly against disciplined road teams that could exploit the Broncos' tendency to play down to competition. The franchise's inability to develop consistent offensive rhythm made them vulnerable to covering spreads that assumed they could control games from start to finish. Sharp bettors should target Denver as home favorites when facing well-coached underdogs with strong defensive schemes, as these matchups historically expose the Broncos' offensive limitations. This trend carries the most weight in divisional games and primetime contests where the spotlight amplifies Denver's performance anxiety as favorites.