The public often underestimates the Denver Broncos in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home underdog, the Denver Broncos hold a record of 14-5-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +40.7% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $8 over this period.

🔥 Elite Edge
Record14-5-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size19 games
ROI+40.7%
Units Won+7.7u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20140-1-00.0%-100.0%
20152-0-00.0%+90.9%
20164-0-00.0%+90.9%
20182-0-00.0%+90.9%
20191-0-00.0%+90.9%
20202-1-00.0%+27.3%
20211-1-00.0%-4.5%
20220-2-00.0%-100.0%
20231-0-00.0%+90.9%
20241-0-00.0%+90.9%

Why This Trend Exists

The Broncos' exceptional performance as home underdogs stems from their organizational culture of resilience and the psychological dynamics of playing at Mile High Stadium. When oddsmakers doubt Denver at home, it typically occurs during transitional periods or against elite opponents, creating a perfect storm where the team's defensive identity and crowd support converge. Denver's defensive-minded approach historically thrives when facing adversity, as pressure situations allow their pass rush to pin ears back and their secondary to take calculated risks. Mile High's altitude and crowd noise become amplified factors when the team enters underdog mentality. Visiting favorites often struggle with the thin air and hostile environment, while Denver players feed off the energy of proving doubters wrong on their home turf. The franchise's championship pedigree means veteran leadership typically emerges in these spots, with players understanding how to channel underdog status into motivation rather than pressure. The most actionable insight for bettors is recognizing that Denver's home underdog situations usually arise against quality opponents in meaningful games, where their defensive scheme can neutralize offensive advantages through game planning and execution. This trend carries the most weight during divisional matchups and primetime games when the emotional component reaches its peak.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Denver Broncos's ATS record as home underdog?

The Denver Broncos have a 14-5-0 ATS record as home underdogs from 2014-2024. This translates to a 73.7% ATS win rate over 19 games in this situation.

Is betting on the Denver Broncos as home underdog profitable?

Yes, betting on the Denver Broncos as home underdogs has been highly profitable with a 40.7% ROI from 2014-2024. Despite a 0.0% straight-up win rate, their strong ATS performance makes them a profitable bet in this spot.

How does this compare to the league average?

This 73.7% ATS win rate significantly exceeds the typical league average of around 50% for home underdogs. The Broncos have been exceptionally profitable in this role, making them one of the best home underdog bets over this period.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.