Denver Broncos Away Underdog Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Denver Broncos in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away underdog, the Denver Broncos are just 12-13-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -8.4% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +8.4%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2016 | 3-1-0 | 0.0% | +43.2% |
| 2017 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2018 | 1-2-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2019 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2020 | 2-2-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2021 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2022 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2023 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2024 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Broncos' struggles as away underdogs stem from their organizational culture that has historically emphasized defensive dominance and conservative game management. When Denver finds itself in unfavorable road situations, their defensive-minded approach often becomes overly cautious, leading to predictable offensive schemes that opposing defenses can easily exploit. This conservative mindset compounds when playing from behind, as the team tends to abandon their ground game too quickly and forces their quarterbacks into uncomfortable passing situations. Denver's home-field advantage at Mile High Stadium has long been a psychological crutch for the franchise. When stripped of that altitude benefit and facing hostile road environments as underdogs, the team frequently appears tentative in crucial moments. Their recent quarterback instability has only magnified this issue, as inexperienced signal-callers struggle to execute comeback scenarios against defenses that can pin their ears back and rush the passer. The coaching staff's tendency to overthink game plans when facing superior opponents on the road has led to abandoning their identity. Instead of leaning into their defensive strengths and controlling tempo, they often try to match their opponents' offensive firepower. This trend carries the most weight when Denver faces divisional rivals on the road, where familiarity breeds additional defensive pressure and limited offensive creativity.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Denver Broncos's ATS record as away underdog?
The Denver Broncos have a 12-13-0 ATS record as away underdogs from 2014-2024. This translates to a 48% ATS win rate over 25 games in this situation.
Is betting on the Denver Broncos as away underdog profitable?
No, betting on the Denver Broncos as away underdogs has not been profitable, showing a -8.4% ROI from 2014-2024. This negative return indicates consistent losses for bettors backing Denver in this spot.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Broncos' 48% ATS win rate as away underdogs is slightly below the typical 50% expectation for spread betting. Their -8.4% ROI also underperforms compared to what would be expected from a break-even betting strategy.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.