Denver Broncos After a Win Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Denver Broncos in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as after a win, the Denver Broncos are just 18-24-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -18.2% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +18.2%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2015 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2016 | 4-3-0 | 0.0% | +9.1% |
| 2017 | 1-4-0 | 0.0% | -61.8% |
| 2018 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2019 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2020 | 3-3-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2021 | 3-3-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2022 | 1-4-0 | 0.0% | -61.8% |
| 2023 | 1-2-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2024 | 2-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Broncos' struggles after victories reveal a franchise caught between eras, where organizational instability has created a pattern of inconsistent follow-through performances. Denver's post-Manning years have been defined by quarterback volatility and coaching changes, making it difficult to build the systematic approach needed for consistent week-to-week execution. When the Broncos do manage a quality win, they often lack the veteran leadership and established offensive identity to maintain that momentum against teams that have had extra time to study their successful game plan. Denver's defensive-minded culture under various coaches has created a team that can occasionally punch above its weight class through effort and scheme, but struggles to replicate those performances when opponents adjust. The franchise has also dealt with significant roster turnover in skill positions, meaning the players executing game plans after wins are often different from those who contributed to the initial success. This lack of continuity becomes magnified in the NFL's week-to-week preparation cycle. For bettors, this trend suggests fading Denver as road favorites after impressive home wins, particularly when facing divisional opponents who've had extra preparation time. The pattern becomes most relevant when the Broncos are coming off upset victories or dominant performances that generate inflated public confidence.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Denver Broncos's ATS record as after a win?
The Denver Broncos have an 18-24-0 ATS record after a win from 2014-2024, covering the spread in just 42.9% of games following victories.
Is betting on the Denver Broncos as after a win profitable?
No, betting on the Denver Broncos after a win is not profitable, with a -18.2% ROI and a 0% win rate over this 10-year period.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is significantly below the league average, as teams typically cover around 50% of spreads, while Denver covers only 42.9% after wins.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.