Denver Broncos After 2+ Consecutive Losses Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Denver Broncos in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as after 2+ consecutive losses, the Denver Broncos are just 41-57-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -20.1% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +20.1%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 1-5-0 | 0.0% | -68.2% |
| 2015 | 3-3-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2016 | 7-6-0 | 0.0% | +2.8% |
| 2017 | 3-8-0 | 0.0% | -47.9% |
| 2018 | 3-3-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2019 | 5-1-0 | 0.0% | +59.1% |
| 2020 | 5-9-0 | 0.0% | -31.8% |
| 2021 | 6-6-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2022 | 2-7-0 | 0.0% | -57.6% |
| 2023 | 3-6-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2024 | 3-3-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Broncos' struggles following consecutive losses stem from a franchise culture that has historically relied heavily on defensive identity and emotional momentum. When Denver falls behind the psychological curve with back-to-back defeats, their defensive units tend to press too hard, leading to blown coverages and missed tackles that compound existing problems. This defensive breakdown often forces the offense into desperate catch-up mode, creating a negative feedback loop where poor execution breeds more poor execution. Denver's coaching staffs over this period have shown a tendency to overcorrect after losing streaks, making wholesale scheme changes rather than trusting their foundational systems. This reactive approach often leaves players confused about their roles and responsibilities, particularly on the defensive side where communication and trust are paramount. The franchise's quarterback instability during much of this timeframe has only amplified these issues, as inconsistent signal-caller play makes it nearly impossible to control games when trailing. The psychological weight of expectations in Denver creates additional pressure during losing streaks. Players and coaches feel the burden of living up to the franchise's championship pedigree, leading to tight, mistake-prone performances when confidence is already shaken. This trend carries the most betting significance when Denver faces divisional opponents or teams with strong rushing attacks that can exploit their compromised defensive discipline.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Denver Broncos's ATS record as after 2+ consecutive losses?
The Denver Broncos have a 41-57-0 ATS record when coming off 2+ consecutive losses from 2014-2024. This translates to a 41.8% ATS win rate over 98 games in this situation.
Is betting on the Denver Broncos as after 2+ consecutive losses profitable?
No, betting on the Denver Broncos after 2+ consecutive losses is not profitable, with a -20.1% ROI from 2014-2024. This represents a significant loss for bettors who consistently wagered on Denver in this spot.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Broncos' 41.8% ATS win rate after 2+ losses is well below the expected 50% break-even rate and likely underperforms the league average. The -20.1% ROI indicates this has been one of the less profitable betting situations in the NFL over this period.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.