The public often underestimates the Dallas Cowboys in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as primetime underdog, the Dallas Cowboys hold a record of 31-21-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +13.8% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $7 over this period.

✅ Profitable
Record31-21-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size52 games
ROI+13.8%
Units Won+7.2u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20145-1-00.0%+59.1%
20151-2-00.0%-36.4%
20163-3-00.0%-4.5%
20173-3-00.0%-4.5%
20183-1-00.0%+43.2%
20194-2-00.0%+27.3%
20203-2-00.0%+14.6%
20215-0-00.0%+90.9%
20222-4-00.0%-36.4%
20232-1-00.0%+27.3%
20240-2-00.0%-100.0%

Why This Trend Exists

The Cowboys' strong primetime underdog performance stems from a perfect storm of psychological and strategic factors that amplify their natural talent. When playing with house money as underdogs, Dallas sheds the suffocating weight of expectations that typically burden "America's Team." This mental freedom allows their skill position players to take calculated risks and make explosive plays that define their offensive identity. Jerry Jones' roster construction philosophy emphasizes star power over depth, creating a team built for moments rather than consistency. In primetime spots where they're not favored, this high-ceiling, low-floor approach becomes an asset rather than liability. The Cowboys possess game-breaking talent at quarterback, receiver, and pass rusher positions that can swing games quickly when the pressure is off and the lights are brightest. The coaching staff historically performs better when game-planning as underdogs, likely due to increased preparation time and simplified messaging. Players respond to the disrespect narrative, particularly at home where their passionate fanbase creates additional energy for upset bids. This trend carries the most weight in divisional primetime games where familiarity breeds competitive balance, and when Dallas faces elite opponents where their talent differential narrows the perceived gap between teams.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Dallas Cowboys's ATS record as primetime underdog?

The Dallas Cowboys have a 31-21-0 ATS record as primetime underdogs from 2014-2024. This translates to a 59.6% ATS win rate over 52 games.

Is betting on the Dallas Cowboys as primetime underdog profitable?

Yes, betting on the Dallas Cowboys as primetime underdogs has been profitable with a 13.8% ROI from 2014-2024. Their 59.6% ATS win rate significantly exceeds the breakeven point needed for profitability.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Cowboys' 59.6% ATS win rate as primetime underdogs substantially outperforms the typical 50% league average. This 9.6 percentage point edge makes them one of the more reliable underdog bets in primetime situations.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.