Dallas Cowboys Large Favorite (-7.5+) Betting Trend

The Cowboys' struggles as large favorites stem from a combination of organizational arrogance and tactical inflexibility that has plagued the franchise for decades. When Dallas enters games with significant point spreads, they often approach opponents with a sense of entitlement that leads to sloppy preparation and unfocused execution. This mentality manifests in predictable play-calling, where the Cowboys rely too heavily on their perceived talent advantage rather than maintaining the strategic discipline that made them favorites in the first place. Dallas has historically struggled with what psychologists call "outcome bias" – assuming victory is inevitable based on talent differentials rather than game-specific preparation. Their coaching staff tends to become conservative with large leads, abandoning the aggressive approaches that built those advantages. The team's high-profile nature also creates additional pressure in prime-time spots where large spreads are most common, as players often press to make highlight-reel plays rather than execute fundamental football. Smart bettors should view Dallas as a fade candidate when laying significant points, particularly in divisional games where motivated underdogs have extra incentive to compete. This trend carries the most weight during December games when playoff implications amplify both the pressure on Dallas and the motivation of their opponents.