Dallas Cowboys Home Favorite Betting Trend

The Cowboys' dismal performance as home favorites stems from a toxic combination of organizational pressure and inflated public perception. Dallas carries the burden of being "America's Team," creating unrealistic expectations that translate into bloated betting lines. The franchise's massive fanbase and media attention consistently pushes spreads higher than their actual performance warrants, particularly at AT&T Stadium where the spectacle often overshadows execution. Jerry Jones' culture of hype over substance has created a team that struggles under the weight of favoritism. The Cowboys historically perform better as underdogs when external pressure is reduced, but as home favorites, they face the dual challenge of meeting elevated expectations while dealing with opponents who arrive motivated to knock off a marquee franchise. Their recent coaching instability and tendency to play down to competition has only amplified this pattern. The psychological component cannot be ignored - Dallas players often appear tight in high-expectation home games, leading to conservative play-calling and mental mistakes that keep games closer than anticipated. This creates a perfect storm for covering failures. This trend matters most in primetime games and divisional matchups where the Cowboys' home favorite status is most pronounced and the betting public's bias is strongest.