The public often underestimates the Dallas Cowboys in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as underdog on 3+ win streak, the Dallas Cowboys hold a record of 29-21-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +10.7% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $5 over this period.

✅ Profitable
Record29-21-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size50 games
ROI+10.7%
Units Won+5.4u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20143-1-00.0%+43.2%
20151-2-00.0%-36.4%
20163-3-00.0%-4.5%
20173-3-00.0%-4.5%
20183-1-00.0%+43.2%
20194-2-00.0%+27.3%
20203-2-00.0%+14.6%
20215-0-00.0%+90.9%
20222-4-00.0%-36.4%
20232-1-00.0%+27.3%
20240-2-00.0%-100.0%

Why This Trend Exists

The Cowboys' strong performance as underdogs during winning streaks stems from their ability to harness momentum while flying under the radar. When Dallas strings together victories, they develop the offensive rhythm that maximizes their talent advantage, particularly in their passing attack with elite receiving weapons. The underdog status often reflects public perception lagging behind their actual form, creating value opportunities as oddsmakers adjust more slowly to Dallas's improved play. Jerry Jones's Cowboys have historically thrived when expectations are tempered, allowing players to focus on execution rather than living up to inflated hype. The team's offensive line improvements during successful stretches enable more consistent protection, which directly correlates with their ability to cover spreads. Additionally, their defense typically performs better when the offense controls games, creating shorter fields and more favorable situations. The psychological element cannot be understated – Dallas players respond well to being doubted, especially when they have recent success to build confidence. The franchise's national spotlight means that when they're underdogs despite winning, it often signals the betting market hasn't fully recognized their current level of play. This trend holds most value when Dallas faces divisional opponents or nationally televised games where public perception heavily influences the line movement.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Dallas Cowboys's ATS record as underdog on 3+ win streak?

The Dallas Cowboys have a 29-21-0 ATS record when they are underdogs on a 3+ game win streak from 2014-2024. This translates to a 58% ATS win rate over 50 games.

Is betting on the Dallas Cowboys as underdog on 3+ win streak profitable?

Yes, betting on the Dallas Cowboys as underdogs on a 3+ win streak has been profitable with a 10.7% ROI. Their 58% ATS win rate in this situation exceeds the typical 52.4% needed to break even.

How does this compare to the league average?

This 58% ATS win rate significantly outperforms the league average, as most teams cover around 50% ATS in any given situation. The Cowboys have been particularly strong at exceeding expectations when entering games as underdogs despite recent success.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.