The data suggests caution when backing the Dallas Cowboys in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away after 2+ wins, the Dallas Cowboys are just 18-21-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -11.9% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +11.9%.

⚠ Fade Zone
Record18-21-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size39 games
ROI-11.9%
Units Won-4.6u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20143-2-00.0%+14.6%
20150-3-00.0%-100.0%
20162-1-00.0%+27.3%
20171-3-00.0%-52.3%
20181-3-00.0%-52.3%
20192-1-00.0%+27.3%
20200-1-00.0%-100.0%
20215-1-00.0%+59.1%
20222-3-00.0%-23.6%
20232-0-00.0%+90.9%
20240-3-00.0%-100.0%

Why This Trend Exists

The Cowboys' struggles as road favorites after multiple wins stem from a combination of organizational complacency and the inherent challenges of maintaining focus in Jerry Jones' media circus environment. Dallas has historically been a team that feeds off momentum and confidence, but this same psychological makeup makes them vulnerable to letdown spots when expectations rise. After stringing together wins, the Cowboys often face increased media attention and internal confidence that doesn't translate well to hostile road environments where execution becomes paramount. The franchise's tendency toward inconsistency is amplified when they're expected to dominate weaker opponents away from home. Dallas players have shown throughout different coaching regimes that they can struggle with the mental preparation required for "should win" games, particularly when dealing with the pressure of living up to their "America's Team" billing on the road. The team's offensive line and skill position players, while talented, have historically been prone to mental mistakes when overconfident. Sharp bettors should consider fading Dallas in these spots, especially when they're laying points against desperate home underdogs. This trend carries the most weight when the Cowboys are coming off impressive divisional wins and traveling to face teams with nothing to lose.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Dallas Cowboys's ATS record as away after 2+ wins?

The Dallas Cowboys have an 18-21-0 ATS record when playing away after 2+ consecutive wins from 2014-2024. This translates to a 46.2% ATS win rate over 39 games.

Is betting on the Dallas Cowboys as away after 2+ wins profitable?

No, betting on the Dallas Cowboys away after 2+ wins is not profitable, showing a -11.9% ROI. Bettors would have lost approximately 12 cents for every dollar wagered on this trend.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is below the expected 50% ATS baseline, suggesting the Cowboys struggle to cover spreads in this specific situation. The negative ROI indicates consistent underperformance against betting market expectations.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.