Dallas Cowboys After a Loss Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Dallas Cowboys in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as after a loss, the Dallas Cowboys are just 21-25-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -12.8% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +12.8%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 3-1-0 | 0.0% | +43.2% |
| 2015 | 1-5-0 | 0.0% | -68.2% |
| 2016 | 2-2-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2017 | 2-4-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2018 | 2-3-0 | 0.0% | -23.6% |
| 2019 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2020 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2021 | 5-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2022 | 1-5-0 | 0.0% | -68.2% |
| 2023 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2024 | 1-3-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Cowboys' struggles after losses stem from a combination of organizational culture and psychological factors that have persisted across different coaching regimes. Dallas has historically been a team that feeds off momentum and confidence, making them particularly vulnerable to the emotional hangover that follows defeats. The franchise's high-profile nature and intense media scrutiny amplify the pressure after losses, often leading to overthinking and mechanical play rather than natural execution. Jerry Jones' hands-on ownership style creates additional layers of complexity following defeats, as players and coaches face increased external pressure and potential scheme adjustments that can disrupt rhythm. The Cowboys tend to overcorrect after losses, particularly on offense where they may abandon successful running games or force throws to star receivers when the game plan should remain balanced. This reactive approach often puts them behind the sticks early, creating exactly the type of deficit situations that make covering spreads difficult. The most actionable insight for bettors is to target Cowboys opponents coming off Dallas losses, especially in divisional games where emotions run highest. This trend carries the most weight in primetime games and road contests, where the psychological burden becomes heaviest and the team's tendency to press becomes most pronounced.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Dallas Cowboys's ATS record as after a loss?
The Dallas Cowboys have a 21-25-0 ATS record when betting on them after a loss from 2014-2024. This represents a 45.7% ATS win rate over 46 games in this situation.
Is betting on the Dallas Cowboys as after a loss profitable?
No, betting on the Dallas Cowboys after a loss has not been profitable, showing a -12.8% ROI from 2014-2024. This negative return indicates consistent losses for bettors backing Dallas in bounce-back spots.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Cowboys' 45.7% ATS win rate after losses is below the expected 50% break-even point and likely underperforms the league average. Most teams perform closer to 50% ATS in situational spots, making Dallas a poor bet in this scenario.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.