The public often underestimates the Cleveland Browns in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as small underdog (+1 to +3), the Cleveland Browns hold a record of 7-4-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +21.5% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $2 over this period.

🔥 Elite Edge
Record7-4-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size11 games
ROI+21.5%
Units Won+2.4u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20170-1-00.0%-100.0%
20182-0-00.0%+90.9%
20201-1-00.0%-4.5%
20210-1-00.0%-100.0%
20222-0-00.0%+90.9%
20231-1-00.0%-4.5%
20241-0-00.0%+90.9%

Why This Trend Exists

The Browns' success as small underdogs stems from their organizational culture of resilience and their ability to elevate performance when expectations are modest. Cleveland thrives in the sweet spot where they're not expected to dominate but aren't written off entirely. This positioning allows them to play loose and aggressive, particularly on defense, where they can dial up pressure without the burden of protecting a lead or meeting lofty expectations. The franchise's recent history of overcoming adversity has created a team identity built around proving doubters wrong. When oddsmakers give them just enough respect to keep the spread tight, the Browns often respond with their most focused efforts. Their coaching staff historically excels at game-planning when they can attack rather than defend, utilizing creative defensive schemes and opportunistic offensive play-calling that catches opponents off-guard. The psychological edge of being slightly disrespected while still being competitive creates an ideal motivational environment. Teams laying small numbers against Cleveland often approach these games with less urgency, assuming they should handle business easily. This trend carries the most weight in divisional matchups and primetime games where the Browns' emotional investment peaks and their opponents might overlook the challenge of playing a desperate Cleveland squad.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Cleveland Browns's ATS record as small underdog (+1 to +3)?

The Cleveland Browns have a 7-4-0 ATS record as small underdogs (+1 to +3) from 2014-2024. This represents an impressive 63.6% cover rate in these situations.

Is betting on the Cleveland Browns as small underdog (+1 to +3) profitable?

Yes, betting on the Cleveland Browns as small underdogs (+1 to +3) has been highly profitable with a 21.5% ROI. Despite the 0.0% straight-up win rate, their strong ATS performance makes them a profitable betting option in this spot.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Browns' 63.6% ATS cover rate as small underdogs significantly exceeds the typical league average of around 50%. Their 21.5% ROI in this situation is exceptionally strong compared to most teams' performance as small underdogs.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.