Cleveland Browns Home vs Division Rival Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Cleveland Browns in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home vs division rival, the Cleveland Browns hold a record of 10-6-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +19.3% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $3 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 1-2-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2015 | 3-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2016 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2019 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2020 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2021 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2022 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2023 | 3-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Browns' impressive divisional home performance stems from their ability to leverage Cleveland's notoriously hostile environment against familiar AFC North rivals. The "Dawg Pound" creates an atmosphere that particularly rattles division opponents who make the trip to FirstEnergy Stadium twice per season, as these teams understand the stakes of every divisional matchup. Cleveland's defensive coordinators have historically excelled at game-planning against known quantities, studying months of tape on Pittsburgh, Baltimore, and Cincinnati to exploit specific weaknesses that emerge in the intense, physical nature of AFC North football. The psychological edge cannot be understated when examining this trend. Browns players and coaches understand that divisional games often determine playoff positioning, creating an urgency that translates into better preparation and execution at home. The franchise's passionate fanbase amplifies this effect, particularly during primetime divisional contests where the national spotlight intensifies the atmosphere. Smart bettors should target this angle when Cleveland faces division rivals at home, especially in late-season games where playoff implications heighten the emotional stakes. This trend carries the most weight in November and December contests when divisional standings crystallize and every game becomes a must-win scenario for AFC North positioning.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Cleveland Browns's ATS record as home vs division rival?
The Cleveland Browns have a 10-6-0 ATS record when playing at home against division rivals from 2014-2024. This translates to a 62.5% ATS win rate in these matchups.
Is betting on the Cleveland Browns as home vs division rival profitable?
Yes, betting on the Cleveland Browns at home vs division rivals has been profitable with a 19.3% ROI over the 2014-2024 period. Despite covering the spread in 10 of 16 games, the positive ROI indicates strong betting value.
How does this compare to the league average?
This 62.5% ATS win rate significantly exceeds the typical 50% league average for ATS performance. The 19.3% ROI also represents strong profitability compared to standard betting expectations.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.