Cleveland Browns As Favorite Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Cleveland Browns in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as as favorite, the Cleveland Browns are just 13-26-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -36.4% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +36.4%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 1-4-0 | 0.0% | -61.8% |
| 2015 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2016 | 2-4-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2017 | 0-4-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2018 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2019 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2020 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2021 | 0-4-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2022 | 2-3-0 | 0.0% | -23.6% |
| 2023 | 2-2-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2024 | 1-2-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Browns' struggles as favorites stem from a franchise-wide psychological burden that manifests when expectations rise. Cleveland has historically been more comfortable as underdogs, where they can play loose and without pressure. When installed as favorites, the weight of organizational dysfunction becomes magnified, creating a self-fulfilling prophecy of underperformance. The team's coaching instability and frequent quarterback changes have created an identity crisis that's most apparent in games they're expected to win. Cleveland lacks the veteran leadership and championship culture necessary to handle favorite status effectively. Their offensive inconsistency becomes more pronounced when facing teams that can stack the box and force them into uncomfortable passing situations, knowing the Browns often struggle with game management in crucial moments. Cleveland's defensive talent has kept them competitive in many games, but their inability to close out victories as favorites reflects deeper issues with execution under pressure. The franchise's well-documented struggles with late-game situations and clock management have cost them numerous covers when leading. Bettors should be particularly wary of backing Cleveland as road favorites, where their psychological disadvantage compounds with hostile environments. This trend matters most in divisional games where familiarity breeds contempt and underdogs play with extra motivation against a historically troubled franchise.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Cleveland Browns's ATS record as as favorite?
The Cleveland Browns have a 13-26-0 ATS record as favorites from 2014-2024, covering the spread in only 33.3% of games when favored.
Is betting on the Cleveland Browns as as favorite profitable?
No, betting on the Cleveland Browns as favorites is not profitable, with a -36.4% ROI and 0% win rate indicating consistent losses for bettors.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is significantly worse than the league average, as NFL favorites typically cover around 48-52% of the time, while the Browns cover only 33.3% as favorites.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.