Cincinnati Bengals Large Underdog (+7.5+) Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Cincinnati Bengals in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as large underdog (+7.5+), the Cincinnati Bengals hold a record of 24-6-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +52.7% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $16 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 3-1-0 | 0.0% | +43.2% |
| 2015 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2016 | 3-1-0 | 0.0% | +43.2% |
| 2017 | 2-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2018 | 3-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2019 | 3-1-0 | 0.0% | +43.2% |
| 2020 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2021 | 2-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2022 | 2-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2023 | 1-3-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2024 | 3-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Bengals' exceptional performance as large underdogs stems from their organizational culture of embracing the underdog mentality, particularly under Zac Taylor's leadership. Cincinnati has historically thrived when expectations are lowest, playing with nothing-to-lose aggression that transforms their offensive approach. Joe Burrow's competitive fire becomes most apparent in these situations, where the pressure shifts entirely to opponents who are expected to dominate. Strategically, the Bengals benefit from opponents potentially overlooking preparation details when facing a supposedly overmatched Cincinnati team. Their offensive versatility with Ja'Marr Chase and Tee Higgins creates explosive play potential that can quickly erase large point spreads, while their defense under Lou Anarumo has shown remarkable ability to generate timely turnovers when playing with house money. The psychological component cannot be understated - Cincinnati's recent playoff success has instilled genuine belief that they belong on any field, regardless of point spreads. This confidence manifests in aggressive fourth-down decisions and creative play-calling that catches favored opponents off-guard. For bettors, target Cincinnati as large underdogs specifically in primetime games or against division rivals, where their emotional investment peaks and the stage amplifies their underdog mentality. This trend holds greatest value when the Bengals face teams coming off impressive victories.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Cincinnati Bengals's ATS record as large underdog (+7.5+)?
The Cincinnati Bengals have an outstanding 24-6-0 ATS record when they are large underdogs of +7.5 points or more from 2014-2024. This represents an 80% ATS win rate over 30 games in this situation.
Is betting on the Cincinnati Bengals as large underdog (+7.5+) profitable?
Yes, betting on the Cincinnati Bengals as large underdogs has been highly profitable with a 52.7% ROI from 2014-2024. Despite never winning these games outright (0.0% win rate), they consistently cover the spread at an elite level.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Bengals' 80% ATS rate as large underdogs significantly outperforms the typical league average of around 50% for underdogs in this range. Their 52.7% ROI indicates exceptional value compared to standard betting expectations.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.