Cincinnati Bengals Home Underdog Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Cincinnati Bengals in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home underdog, the Cincinnati Bengals hold a record of 19-5-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +51.1% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $12 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 3-2-0 | 0.0% | +14.6% |
| 2015 | 2-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2016 | 3-1-0 | 0.0% | +43.2% |
| 2018 | 3-1-0 | 0.0% | +43.2% |
| 2019 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2020 | 2-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2022 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2023 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2024 | 3-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Bengals' exceptional performance as home underdogs stems from a perfect storm of psychological motivation and strategic advantages. When Cincinnati enters Paul Brown Stadium as the betting underdog, they typically face teams with superior records or recent momentum, creating a "nothing to lose" mentality that has historically brought out their best football. The franchise's underdog identity, forged through decades of playoff heartbreak and small-market status, resonates particularly strongly when oddsmakers doubt them at home. Cincinnati's coaching staff has consistently excelled at game-planning when expectations are low, often implementing aggressive defensive schemes and creative offensive wrinkles that catch favored opponents off-guard. The team's passionate fanbase creates an electric atmosphere when they sense an upset brewing, while visiting teams often arrive overconfident or looking ahead to seemingly easier matchups. The Bengals' recent quarterback stability has amplified this trend, as veteran leadership thrives in these pressure-cooker situations where the team can play loose and aggressive. Their offensive line improvements have also made Paul Brown Stadium a more formidable venue for road favorites to navigate. This trend carries the most weight when Cincinnati faces divisional rivals or playoff contenders in primetime slots, where the emotional stakes and preparation advantages reach their peak.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Cincinnati Bengals's ATS record as home underdog?
The Cincinnati Bengals have an outstanding 19-5-0 ATS record as home underdogs from 2014-2024. This represents a remarkable 79.2% ATS win rate over 24 games.
Is betting on the Cincinnati Bengals as home underdog profitable?
Yes, betting on the Bengals as home underdogs has been extremely profitable with a 51.1% ROI. This means a $100 bet on each game would have returned $151.10 on average.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance significantly outperforms the league average, as most teams cover around 50% ATS. The Bengals' 79.2% ATS rate as home underdogs is exceptionally strong compared to typical NFL trends.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.