Cincinnati Bengals Home After 2+ Losses Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Cincinnati Bengals in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home after 2+ losses, the Cincinnati Bengals hold a record of 28-15-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +24.3% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $10 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 3-3-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2015 | 4-2-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2016 | 4-2-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2017 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2018 | 6-3-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2019 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2020 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2021 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2022 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2023 | 3-1-0 | 0.0% | +43.2% |
| 2024 | 3-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Bengals' exceptional performance as home favorites following multiple losses stems from their organizational culture of resilience and their ability to leverage Paul Brown Stadium's intimate atmosphere during adversity. Cincinnati has historically been a franchise that responds well to criticism and doubt, with players and coaches rallying around the "us against the world" mentality that emerges after consecutive defeats. The team's offensive system, particularly under Zac Taylor's leadership, benefits from the controlled environment of home games where communication is clearer and rhythm can be established more easily. Cincinnati's roster construction has consistently featured mentally tough veterans who thrive under pressure situations. The franchise's approach to roster building emphasizes character and competitiveness, creating a locker room dynamic where consecutive losses serve as motivation rather than deflation. Their defensive schemes also tend to be more aggressive at home following losses, as coordinators feel more comfortable taking calculated risks with crowd noise providing additional pressure on opposing offenses. Smart bettors should target this angle when Cincinnati returns home as favorites after road struggles or divisional losses, as the psychological reset combined with scheme adjustments creates significant value. This trend carries the most weight when the Bengals face non-divisional opponents in prime time slots, where the emotional response typically peaks.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Cincinnati Bengals's ATS record as home after 2+ losses?
The Cincinnati Bengals have a 28-15-0 ATS record when playing at home after suffering 2 or more consecutive losses from 2014-2024. This translates to a 65.1% ATS win rate over 43 games.
Is betting on the Cincinnati Bengals as home after 2+ losses profitable?
Yes, betting on the Cincinnati Bengals at home after 2+ losses has been highly profitable with a 24.3% ROI from 2014-2024. This represents strong value despite the team's struggles in these situations.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Bengals' 65.1% ATS rate in this situation significantly outperforms the typical league average of around 50%. Their 24.3% ROI indicates exceptional betting value compared to most NFL trends.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.