The Chicago Bears show mixed results as vs non-conference opponent. Since 2014, they're 25-25-0 against the spread—a 0.0% win rate with an ROI of -4.5%. While not a strong standalone angle, this data provides valuable context when combined with other factors.

⚖ Neutral
Record25-25-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size50 games
ROI-4.5%
Units Won-2.3u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20142-2-00.0%-4.5%
20153-5-00.0%-28.4%
20164-2-00.0%+27.3%
20174-3-00.0%+9.1%
20182-2-00.0%-4.5%
20191-1-00.0%-4.5%
20203-2-00.0%+14.6%
20211-2-00.0%-36.4%
20221-2-00.0%-36.4%
20233-2-00.0%+14.6%
20241-2-00.0%-36.4%

Why This Trend Exists

The Bears' mediocre performance against non-conference opponents stems from their historically conservative organizational approach and tendency to struggle with unfamiliar schemes. Chicago's defensive-minded culture, built around predictable NFC North divisional play, often gets exposed when facing AFC teams with different offensive philosophies and personnel packages they rarely encounter during regular preparation cycles. The franchise's coaching instability over the past decade has particularly hurt their ability to make effective in-game adjustments against non-conference foes. While Bears coaches spend extensive time studying divisional rivals like Green Bay and Minnesota, they typically have less comprehensive scouting reports on AFC opponents, leading to slower defensive reactions and poorly timed offensive play-calling. This preparation gap becomes magnified when facing innovative AFC offensive coordinators who exploit Chicago's rigid defensive principles. The negative ROI reflects the betting market's tendency to overvalue the Bears' reputation in primetime non-conference matchups, particularly when playing at Soldier Field. Public perception often lags behind the team's actual capabilities against unfamiliar opponents. This trend carries the most weight when Chicago faces AFC teams with mobile quarterbacks or unique offensive systems, especially in nationally televised games where the spread may be inflated by casual betting action.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Chicago Bears's ATS record as vs non-conference opponent?

The Chicago Bears have gone 25-25-0 against the spread when facing non-conference opponents from 2014-2024. This represents a perfectly even .500 ATS record over the 11-year period.

Is betting on the Chicago Bears as vs non-conference opponent profitable?

No, betting on the Chicago Bears against non-conference opponents has not been profitable, showing a -4.5% ROI from 2014-2024. Despite their even 25-25 ATS record, the negative ROI indicates losses due to vigorish/juice.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Bears' 50% ATS win rate against non-conference opponents is right at the expected league average. However, their -4.5% ROI is slightly worse than break-even due to standard sportsbook margins.

ANALYZE This Trend

This trend is near break-even. Combine with other factors and compare odds before placing any bets.

Compare Sportsbook Odds

Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.