Chicago Bears Away Favorite After a Loss Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Chicago Bears in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away favorite after a loss, the Chicago Bears are just 7-11-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -25.8% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +25.8%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2015 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2016 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2017 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2018 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2019 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2020 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2022 | 1-3-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2023 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2024 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Bears' struggles as road favorites following losses stem from a franchise culture that has historically crumbled under external pressure while dealing with internal adversity. Chicago's organizational tendency toward conservative, risk-averse coaching decisions becomes magnified when they're expected to bounce back on the road, where crowd noise and hostile environments already challenge their typically inconsistent offensive execution. The psychological burden of being favored away from Soldier Field after a defeat creates a perfect storm for Chicago. The Bears have long struggled with identity issues on offense, cycling through quarterbacks and coordinators, making it difficult to impose their will when oddsmakers expect them to dominate inferior opponents. Their defensive-minded culture often leads to tight, low-scoring games that rarely cover inflated spreads, especially when the offense fails to capitalize on favorable matchups. Chicago's coaching staff has shown a pattern of overthinking game plans in these spots, abandoning what works in favor of complicated schemes that backfire against supposedly weaker competition. The franchise's recent instability at key positions compounds these issues, as players lack confidence in crucial moments. This trend matters most when the Bears are laying more than a field goal on the road after divisional losses, where emotional letdowns intersect with overvalued market perception.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Chicago Bears's ATS record as away favorite after a loss?
The Chicago Bears have a 7-11-0 ATS record as away favorites after a loss from 2014-2024. This translates to a 38.9% ATS win rate across 18 games in this situation.
Is betting on the Chicago Bears as away favorite after a loss profitable?
No, betting on the Chicago Bears as away favorites after a loss is not profitable. The team has generated a -25.8% ROI with a 0.0% straight-up win rate in this scenario.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is significantly below league average, as most teams typically cover around 50% ATS. The Bears' 38.9% ATS rate and negative ROI indicate they consistently underperform expectations in this specific situation.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.