The data suggests caution when backing the Chicago Bears in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away favorite, the Chicago Bears are just 10-22-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -40.3% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +40.3%.

🚫 Strong Fade
Record10-22-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size32 games
ROI-40.3%
Units Won-12.9u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20141-3-00.0%-52.3%
20151-4-00.0%-61.8%
20160-1-00.0%-100.0%
20173-2-00.0%+14.6%
20180-2-00.0%-100.0%
20191-1-00.0%-4.5%
20201-3-00.0%-52.3%
20221-3-00.0%-52.3%
20231-2-00.0%-36.4%
20241-1-00.0%-4.5%

Why This Trend Exists

The Bears' struggles as road favorites stem from a franchise culture built on defensive identity and home-field advantage at Soldier Field. Chicago has historically relied on their defense and harsh weather conditions to create an intimidating environment, but these advantages evaporate when traveling to neutral or warm-weather venues. The psychological shift from underdog mentality to favorite status compounds this issue, as Bears teams often play their best football when overlooked or written off. Chicago's offensive limitations become magnified when expected to control games on the road. The franchise has cycled through inconsistent quarterback play and conservative offensive schemes that struggle to generate points when trailing or facing pressure to perform as favorites. Road environments expose these weaknesses, particularly when facing motivated home underdogs who can exploit Chicago's tendency to play down to competition. The Bears' coaching staff has shown a pattern of conservative game management that works well in close games at home but fails when they need to assert dominance as road favorites. This creates a perfect storm where public perception inflates their lines while their actual road performance remains pedestrian. This trend carries the most weight when Chicago travels to face divisional opponents or teams with strong home-field advantages, particularly in outdoor venues during late-season games.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Chicago Bears's ATS record as away favorite?

The Chicago Bears have a 10-22-0 ATS record as away favorites from 2014-2024. This represents a 31.3% ATS win rate over 32 games.

Is betting on the Chicago Bears as away favorite profitable?

No, betting on the Chicago Bears as away favorites is not profitable with a -40.3% ROI. This means you would lose approximately 40 cents for every dollar wagered over this period.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Bears' 31.3% ATS win rate as away favorites is significantly below the league average of approximately 50%. Their performance in this situation ranks among the worst in the NFL during this timeframe.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.