The data suggests caution when backing the Chicago Bears in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away after 2+ wins, the Chicago Bears are just 24-29-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -13.6% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +13.6%.

⚠ Fade Zone
Record24-29-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size53 games
ROI-13.6%
Units Won-7.2u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20142-4-00.0%-36.4%
20152-4-00.0%-36.4%
20162-2-00.0%-4.5%
20173-2-00.0%+14.6%
20182-2-00.0%-4.5%
20192-2-00.0%-4.5%
20203-3-00.0%-4.5%
20210-2-00.0%-100.0%
20221-4-00.0%-61.8%
20234-3-00.0%+9.1%
20243-1-00.0%+43.2%

Why This Trend Exists

The Bears' struggles as road favorites following multiple wins stems from a franchise historically built on defensive identity rather than offensive explosiveness. When Chicago strings together victories, it's typically through grinding defensive performances and opportunistic play rather than dominant offensive displays. This creates inflated public perception and betting lines that don't accurately reflect their true road capabilities against motivated opponents. Chicago's organizational culture has long emphasized physicality and home-field advantage at Soldier Field, where weather and crowd noise amplify their defensive strengths. On the road after success, the Bears face teams with nothing to lose and everything to prove, while their own conservative offensive approach becomes more predictable away from home. The franchise's tendency toward methodical, low-scoring games means they're particularly vulnerable when oddsmakers overvalue recent wins that may have come against weaker competition or in favorable conditions. The psychological element cannot be ignored - Bears teams historically struggle with the pressure of expectations, particularly when labeled as favorites. Their blue-collar identity works better as underdogs than as teams expected to dominate. This trend carries the most weight when the Bears are road favorites of three points or more following impressive home victories, especially against divisional opponents seeking revenge.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Chicago Bears's ATS record as away after 2+ wins?

The Chicago Bears have an ATS record of 24-29-0 when playing away after 2+ wins from 2014-2024. This translates to a 45.3% ATS win rate over 53 games.

Is betting on the Chicago Bears as away after 2+ wins profitable?

No, betting on the Chicago Bears as away after 2+ wins is not profitable, showing a -13.6% ROI. This negative return indicates consistent losses for bettors backing Chicago in this situation.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Bears' 45.3% ATS win rate in this situation is below the expected 50% break-even point for ATS betting. The -13.6% ROI suggests significantly worse performance than typical league averages for similar situational trends.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.