The data suggests caution when backing the Chicago Bears in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away games, the Chicago Bears are just 24-29-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -13.6% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +13.6%.

⚠ Fade Zone
Record24-29-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size53 games
ROI-13.6%
Units Won-7.2u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20142-4-00.0%-36.4%
20152-4-00.0%-36.4%
20162-2-00.0%-4.5%
20173-2-00.0%+14.6%
20182-2-00.0%-4.5%
20192-2-00.0%-4.5%
20203-3-00.0%-4.5%
20210-2-00.0%-100.0%
20221-4-00.0%-61.8%
20234-3-00.0%+9.1%
20243-1-00.0%+43.2%

Why This Trend Exists

The Bears' inconsistent away performance stems largely from their historically conservative offensive philosophy that struggles to adapt when playing from behind on the road. Chicago's defensive identity has traditionally relied on controlling field position and creating short fields for their offense, but this approach becomes problematic in hostile environments where they're forced into more aggressive play-calling situations. The franchise's quarterback instability over the past decade has amplified these road struggles, as inexperienced signal-callers face additional pressure from crowd noise and unfamiliar surroundings. Chicago's offensive line has consistently ranked in the bottom half of the league in pass protection, making it particularly vulnerable when facing coordinated crowd noise that disrupts snap counts and communication. Weather also plays a significant role, as the Bears' late-season road games often take them to warmer climates where their cold-weather conditioning provides no advantage, or to equally harsh environments where both teams struggle but Chicago lacks the home-field familiarity to capitalize. The recent uptick suggests improved roster construction under the current regime, but bettors should remain cautious when backing Chicago as road favorites against teams with strong home records. This trend matters most in primetime road games and divisional matchups where emotional factors are heightened.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Chicago Bears's ATS record as away games?

The Chicago Bears have a 24-29-0 ATS record in away games from 2014-2024. This translates to a 45.3% win rate against the spread when playing on the road.

Is betting on the Chicago Bears as away games profitable?

No, betting on the Chicago Bears in away games is not profitable. The team has generated a -13.6% ROI over this period, meaning bettors would have lost money consistently backing Chicago on the road.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Bears' 45.3% ATS win rate in away games is below the expected 50% break-even point. This underperformance against the spread in road games suggests the betting market has generally overvalued Chicago when they play away from home.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.