The data suggests caution when backing the Chicago Bears in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as after a win, the Chicago Bears are just 16-32-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -36.4% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +36.4%.

🚫 Strong Fade
Record16-32-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size48 games
ROI-36.4%
Units Won-17.4u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20142-5-00.0%-45.5%
20151-7-00.0%-76.1%
20162-2-00.0%-4.5%
20173-3-00.0%-4.5%
20181-1-00.0%-4.5%
20191-3-00.0%-52.3%
20202-3-00.0%-23.6%
20210-3-00.0%-100.0%
20220-1-00.0%-100.0%
20233-2-00.0%+14.6%
20241-2-00.0%-36.4%

Why This Trend Exists

The Bears' consistent struggles after wins reveal a franchise plagued by inconsistency and organizational instability. Chicago has cycled through multiple coaching staffs and offensive coordinators during this period, creating an environment where players struggle to maintain momentum from one week to the next. This constant upheaval prevents the team from building on positive performances, as different systems and philosophies disrupt any rhythm established after victories. The psychological aspect cannot be ignored either. Chicago's recent history is littered with false dawns and squandered opportunities, creating a culture where players and coaches may unconsciously relax after rare moments of success. The Bears have also shown a tendency toward conservative play-calling following wins, as coaches attempt to protect leads rather than maintain the aggressive approach that likely secured the previous victory. Chicago's roster construction compounds these issues. The team has frequently lacked depth, meaning key players who excel in winning efforts often face fatigue or injury in subsequent games. Their offensive line inconsistencies particularly hurt when opponents have extra time to study successful game plans. This trend carries the most weight when the Bears are road favorites or facing divisional opponents after upset victories, where overconfidence meets heightened opponent motivation.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Chicago Bears's ATS record as after a win?

The Chicago Bears have a 16-32-0 ATS record after a win from 2014-2024. This represents a 33.3% ATS win rate over 48 games in this situation.

Is betting on the Chicago Bears as after a win profitable?

No, betting on the Chicago Bears after a win has not been profitable, showing a -36.4% ROI from 2014-2024. This poor performance indicates consistent failure to cover the spread following victories.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Bears' 33.3% ATS win rate after wins is significantly below the league average of approximately 50%. This makes them one of the worst teams to bet on in this specific situation.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.