The data suggests caution when backing the Chicago Bears in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as after 2+ consecutive wins, the Chicago Bears are just 46-57-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -14.7% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +14.7%.

⚠ Fade Zone
Record46-57-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size103 games
ROI-14.7%
Units Won-15.2u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20145-6-00.0%-13.2%
20156-11-00.0%-32.6%
20165-4-00.0%+6.1%
20175-4-00.0%+6.1%
20183-3-00.0%-4.5%
20193-8-00.0%-47.9%
20204-5-00.0%-15.2%
20212-3-00.0%-23.6%
20222-5-00.0%-45.5%
20237-5-00.0%+11.4%
20244-3-00.0%+9.1%

Why This Trend Exists

The Bears' struggle to maintain momentum after consecutive wins reflects a franchise-long pattern of inconsistency rooted in organizational instability and coaching turnover. Chicago has cycled through multiple head coaches and offensive coordinators over the past decade, creating an environment where players struggle to build sustained confidence and systematic execution. When the Bears string together wins, they often face elevated expectations that expose their underlying talent deficiencies, particularly on offense where quarterback play has been historically volatile. The team's defensive identity, while capable of generating short-term success, becomes predictable after opponents have film on recent performances. Chicago's offense typically lacks the explosive playmakers needed to maintain scoring when defenses adjust, leading to regression toward their baseline performance level. The Bears also tend to face tougher opponents or road situations following hot streaks, as their improved record often correlates with a more challenging upcoming schedule. For bettors, this trend suggests fading Chicago when they're riding high, especially as road favorites or in divisional matchups where opponents have extra motivation. This pattern becomes most critical during mid-season stretches when playoff implications heighten pressure and expose the Bears' tendency to revert to form when expectations peak.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Chicago Bears's ATS record as after 2+ consecutive wins?

The Chicago Bears have a 46-57-0 ATS record after 2+ consecutive wins from 2014-2024. This translates to a 44.7% ATS win rate over 103 games in this situation.

Is betting on the Chicago Bears as after 2+ consecutive wins profitable?

No, betting on the Chicago Bears after 2+ consecutive wins is not profitable, showing a -14.7% ROI. This indicates consistent losses for bettors backing the Bears in this spot over the past decade.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Bears' 44.7% ATS win rate after 2+ consecutive wins is below the expected 50% break-even point. This suggests they consistently fail to cover spreads when riding winning streaks, likely due to inflated point spreads.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.