Carolina Panthers Medium Favorite (-3.5 to -7) Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Carolina Panthers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as medium favorite (-3.5 to -7), the Carolina Panthers are just 5-10-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -36.4% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +36.4%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2015 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2016 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2020 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2021 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2022 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2023 | 2-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2024 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Panthers' struggles as medium favorites stem from their fundamental identity crisis as a franchise caught between rebuilding and competing. When laying 3.5 to 7 points, Carolina faces teams they should handle comfortably, but their inconsistent quarterback play and porous offensive line create the perfect storm for disappointing performances. The team's tendency to play down to competition reflects deeper issues with focus and preparation when expectations rise. Carolina's coaching instability over the past decade has contributed to poor game management in spots where they should dominate. The Panthers often struggle to put away inferior opponents because they lack the killer instinct that comes with established leadership and system continuity. Their defense, while talented at times, has shown a pattern of allowing backdoor covers when protecting leads, particularly against desperate underdogs with nothing to lose. The psychological burden of being favored appears to weigh heavily on a franchise that has experienced more disappointment than success in recent years. Players and coaches seem to press when expected to win decisively, leading to conservative play-calling and mental mistakes. This trend carries the most weight when Carolina faces division rivals or teams with interim coaching situations, where motivation gaps become most pronounced.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Carolina Panthers's ATS record as medium favorite (-3.5 to -7)?
The Carolina Panthers have a 5-10-0 ATS record when favored by 3.5 to 7 points from 2014-2024. This represents a 33.3% ATS win rate across 15 games in this betting situation.
Is betting on the Carolina Panthers as medium favorite (-3.5 to -7) profitable?
No, betting on the Carolina Panthers as medium favorites has been highly unprofitable with a -36.4% ROI. This means bettors would have lost approximately 36 cents for every dollar wagered on Carolina in this spot.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Panthers' 33.3% ATS win rate as medium favorites is significantly below the expected 50% league average. Their -36.4% ROI indicates they have been one of the worst bets in this specific betting situation over the past decade.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.