The public often underestimates the Carolina Panthers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as medium underdog (+3.5 to +7), the Carolina Panthers hold a record of 11-4-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +40.0% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $6 over this period.

🔥 Elite Edge
Record11-4-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size15 games
ROI+40.0%
Units Won+6.0u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20140-1-00.0%-100.0%
20151-0-00.0%+90.9%
20161-1-00.0%-4.5%
20181-1-00.0%-4.5%
20202-1-00.0%+27.3%
20223-0-00.0%+90.9%
20243-0-00.0%+90.9%

Why This Trend Exists

The Panthers' exceptional performance as medium underdogs stems from their organizational identity as a team that thrives when expectations are managed downward. Carolina has historically been built around defensive intensity and opportunistic offense, a combination that becomes particularly potent when oddsmakers underestimate their ability to stay competitive against superior opponents. When facing spreads in the 3.5 to 7-point range, the Panthers benefit from what amounts to a "sweet spot" of motivation without desperation. They're not expected to win outright, which removes pressure while still maintaining realistic hope for an upset. This psychological framework allows their defensive unit to play with the aggressive, nothing-to-lose mentality that has defined successful Panthers teams, while their offense can capitalize on opponents who may be looking ahead or playing conservatively with a lead. The franchise's boom-or-bust nature also works in their favor as medium underdogs. When Carolina is competitive enough to warrant only a medium spread, it typically indicates they have their key pieces healthy and functioning, particularly on defense where they can create the short fields and turnovers necessary to keep games close. This trend carries the most weight in divisional games and primetime spots where Carolina's defensive intensity can neutralize talent disparities.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Carolina Panthers's ATS record as medium underdog (+3.5 to +7)?

The Carolina Panthers have an 11-4-0 ATS record as medium underdogs (+3.5 to +7) from 2014-2024. This represents a 73.3% ATS win rate in this betting situation.

Is betting on the Carolina Panthers as medium underdog (+3.5 to +7) profitable?

Yes, betting on the Panthers as medium underdogs has been highly profitable with a 40.0% ROI from 2014-2024. Despite winning 0% of games outright in this situation, they've consistently covered the spread.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance significantly exceeds the league average, as most teams cover around 50% ATS and rarely achieve sustained ROI above 10-15%. The Panthers' 73.3% ATS rate in this spot is exceptionally strong.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.