The public often underestimates the Carolina Panthers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as large underdog (+7.5+), the Carolina Panthers hold a record of 8-4-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +27.3% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $3 over this period.

🔥 Elite Edge
Record8-4-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size12 games
ROI+27.3%
Units Won+3.3u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20151-0-00.0%+90.9%
20171-0-00.0%+90.9%
20181-1-00.0%-4.5%
20191-0-00.0%+90.9%
20201-0-00.0%+90.9%
20211-0-00.0%+90.9%
20222-1-00.0%+27.3%
20240-2-00.0%-100.0%

Why This Trend Exists

The Panthers' success as large underdogs stems from their organizational identity as a team that thrives when expectations are lowest. Carolina has historically been built around defensive tenacity and opportunistic offense, traits that become magnified when facing superior opponents who may overlook their capabilities. When laying heavy points, favored teams often play conservatively or lose focus, creating windows for scrappy underdogs to keep games competitive through defensive stops and short fields. Carolina's coaching philosophy under different regimes has consistently emphasized physicality and situational football, particularly effective when game scripts favor ball control and limiting possessions. The Panthers' defensive front has traditionally been their strength, capable of generating pressure and forcing turnovers that swing momentum regardless of talent disparities. Their running game, while inconsistent, can control clock and field position when opponents expect them to abandon it early. The psychological element cannot be understated - players perform differently when written off completely versus facing moderate expectations. Large spreads often reflect public perception more than actual talent gaps, creating value opportunities. This trend matters most in divisional games and primetime spots where motivation peaks, and when facing teams coming off emotional victories who might experience natural letdowns.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Carolina Panthers's ATS record as large underdog (+7.5+)?

The Carolina Panthers have an 8-4-0 ATS record as large underdogs (+7.5 or more) from 2014-2024. This translates to a 66.7% ATS win rate in these situations.

Is betting on the Carolina Panthers as large underdog (+7.5+) profitable?

Yes, betting on the Carolina Panthers as large underdogs has been highly profitable with a 27.3% ROI from 2014-2024. Despite never winning outright (0.0% win rate), they consistently cover the spread in these spots.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Panthers' 66.7% ATS rate as large underdogs significantly outperforms the typical league average of around 50% for underdogs. Their 27.3% ROI indicates exceptional value in these betting situations.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.