The Buffalo Bills show mixed results as on a 3+ game win streak. Since 2014, they're 42-36-0 against the spread—a 0.0% win rate with an ROI of +2.8%. While not a strong standalone angle, this data provides valuable context when combined with other factors.

⚖ Neutral
Record42-36-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size78 games
ROI+2.8%
Units Won+2.2u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20141-1-00.0%-4.5%
20153-0-00.0%+90.9%
20163-4-00.0%-18.2%
20174-6-00.0%-23.6%
20183-3-00.0%-4.5%
20196-1-00.0%+63.6%
20202-6-00.0%-52.3%
20213-5-00.0%-28.4%
20223-3-00.0%-4.5%
20235-3-00.0%+19.3%
20249-4-00.0%+32.2%

Why This Trend Exists

The Bills' mixed performance on extended win streaks reflects the psychological burden of elevated expectations that comes with sustained success. When Buffalo builds momentum, oddsmakers and the public quickly adjust their perception, often inflating spreads beyond what the team's actual performance merits. This creates a classic trap scenario where the Bills face increased pressure to cover larger numbers while opponents gain extra motivation to end their hot streak. Buffalo's offensive identity under Josh Allen can become predictable during extended runs, as defensive coordinators get more film to study and adjust their game plans accordingly. The Bills' reliance on explosive plays through the air makes them vulnerable to regression when facing consecutive quality defensive schemes that have had time to prepare specific counters to their high-tempo attack. The franchise's historical struggles with handling success also play a role, as the organization sometimes shows subtle signs of complacency when riding high. Their recent form suggests they've improved at maintaining focus, but the overall trend indicates they're still learning to consistently perform as favorites during peak moments. This trend becomes most critical when the Bills are riding a three-game streak against divisional opponents or in primetime games, where the spotlight intensifies and opponent preparation reaches its peak.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Buffalo Bills's ATS record as on a 3+ game win streak?

The Buffalo Bills have a 42-36-0 ATS record when on a 3+ game win streak from 2014-2024. This translates to a 53.8% ATS win rate over 78 games.

Is betting on the Buffalo Bills as on a 3+ game win streak profitable?

Yes, betting on the Buffalo Bills when on a 3+ game win streak has been profitable with a 2.8% ROI. Their 53.8% ATS win rate indicates they cover the spread more often than not in these situations.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Bills' 53.8% ATS win rate when on winning streaks is above the typical 50% break-even point for ATS betting. Their 2.8% ROI demonstrates modest but consistent profitability compared to random betting outcomes.

ANALYZE This Trend

This trend is near break-even. Combine with other factors and compare odds before placing any bets.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.