Buffalo Bills Underdog on 3+ Win Streak Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Buffalo Bills in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as underdog on 3+ win streak, the Buffalo Bills hold a record of 32-10-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +45.5% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $19 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2015 | 3-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2016 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2017 | 3-3-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2018 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2019 | 5-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2020 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2021 | 2-2-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2022 | 3-2-0 | 0.0% | +14.6% |
| 2023 | 5-1-0 | 0.0% | +59.1% |
| 2024 | 6-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Buffalo Bills' exceptional performance as underdogs during winning streaks reflects a franchise that has historically thrived when expectations are lowered and their backs are against the wall. This psychological dynamic creates a perfect storm where the team plays with house money while oddsmakers potentially undervalue their momentum. Buffalo's organizational culture, particularly under Sean McDermott's defensive-minded leadership, emphasizes preparation and execution regardless of external perception, making them particularly dangerous when public sentiment favors their opponents. The Bills' defensive identity becomes amplified in underdog situations, as they can focus on disrupting opposing game plans rather than managing expectations. Their special teams units and coaching staff have consistently found ways to exploit opponent overconfidence, while their offensive schemes become more creative and aggressive when trailing in market perception. The franchise's blue-collar mentality resonates with players who perform better when proving doubters wrong rather than defending a reputation. Bettors should target Buffalo as road underdogs during active winning streaks, particularly against divisional opponents or teams coming off impressive victories where public money inflates the line. This trend carries maximum weight in December and January games when playoff implications intensify the underdog motivation factor.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Buffalo Bills's ATS record as underdog on 3+ win streak?
The Buffalo Bills have an outstanding 32-10-0 ATS record when they are underdogs on a 3+ game win streak from 2014-2024. This represents a 76.2% ATS win rate in this specific situation.
Is betting on the Buffalo Bills as underdog on 3+ win streak profitable?
Yes, betting on the Buffalo Bills as underdogs on a 3+ win streak has been highly profitable with a 45.5% ROI. This means a $100 bet in each of these situations would have returned $45.50 in profit over the 11-year period.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance significantly outperforms typical NFL betting expectations, as the standard ATS win rate hovers around 50%. The Bills' 76.2% ATS rate in this situation is exceptionally strong compared to league averages.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.