Buffalo Bills Away Favorite Betting Trend

The Bills' struggles as road favorites stem from a fundamental mismatch between market perception and road execution. Buffalo has historically been a team that feeds off the energy of their passionate home crowd at Highmark Stadium, where the notorious "Bills Mafia" creates one of the NFL's most intimidating atmospheres. When they travel as favorites, they lose this crucial emotional advantage while facing opponents who are often desperate and playing with nothing to lose. Buffalo's offensive identity has traditionally relied on establishing rhythm early, but road environments frequently disrupt their timing. The Bills have shown a tendency to play down to lesser competition, particularly when the spread suggests they should dominate. This psychological letdown effect is amplified on the road, where communication becomes more difficult and the margin for error shrinks considerably. The coaching staff's aggressive tendencies, while effective in many situations, can backfire when Buffalo is expected to control games as road chalk. Their willingness to take risks often leads to turnovers or failed fourth-down attempts that swing momentum toward energized home underdogs. This trend becomes most critical when Buffalo is favored by more than a touchdown on the road, particularly against teams fighting for playoff positioning or divisional rivals seeking revenge.