Buffalo Bills Away Underdog Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Buffalo Bills in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away underdog, the Buffalo Bills hold a record of 14-4-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +48.5% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $9 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2016 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2017 | 1-2-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2019 | 3-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2020 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2021 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2022 | 2-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2023 | 2-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2024 | 2-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Bills' exceptional performance as road underdogs stems from their identity as a blue-collar franchise that thrives when expectations are lowered. Buffalo has historically been built around defensive toughness and opportunistic offense, qualities that translate well to hostile environments where they can play freely without the pressure of being favored. The franchise's decades-long playoff drought created a mentality of proving doubters wrong, and even after breaking through, that chip-on-the-shoulder approach remains embedded in their DNA. Buffalo's coaching staff has consistently prepared well for road challenges, particularly in games where the betting market undervalues their talent level. The team's strong leadership core and veteran presence helps maintain composure in difficult road environments, while their defensive schemes often disrupt opposing offenses that may be overconfident playing at home as favorites. The Bills also benefit from having a mobile quarterback who can extend plays when protection breaks down, a crucial asset in loud road venues. Bettors should target Buffalo as road underdogs when facing teams coming off impressive home wins or during primetime games where public perception may lag behind their actual capabilities. This trend carries the most weight in divisional road games and playoff scenarios where the Bills' experience in pressure situations becomes a significant edge.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Buffalo Bills's ATS record as away underdog?
The Buffalo Bills have an outstanding 14-4-0 ATS record as away underdogs from 2014-2024. This represents a 77.8% ATS win rate in these situations.
Is betting on the Buffalo Bills as away underdog profitable?
Yes, betting on the Buffalo Bills as away underdogs has been highly profitable with a 48.5% ROI. This strong return is driven by their exceptional ability to cover the spread in underdog road situations.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Bills' 77.8% ATS win rate as away underdogs significantly outperforms the typical league average of around 50% for underdogs. Their 48.5% ROI is exceptionally strong compared to the long-term break-even expectation in sports betting.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.