Buffalo Bills After 2+ Consecutive Wins Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The Buffalo Bills show mixed results as after 2+ consecutive wins. Since 2014, they're 42-37-0 against the spread—a 0.0% win rate with an ROI of +1.5%. While not a strong standalone angle, this data provides valuable context when combined with other factors.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 1-2-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2015 | 3-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2016 | 3-4-0 | 0.0% | -18.2% |
| 2017 | 4-6-0 | 0.0% | -23.6% |
| 2018 | 3-3-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2019 | 6-1-0 | 0.0% | +63.6% |
| 2020 | 2-6-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2021 | 3-5-0 | 0.0% | -28.4% |
| 2022 | 3-3-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2023 | 5-3-0 | 0.0% | +19.3% |
| 2024 | 9-4-0 | 0.0% | +32.2% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Bills' struggle to cover spreads after consecutive wins stems from a combination of market overreaction and the team's historical inconsistency under pressure. Buffalo has long been a franchise that generates significant public betting interest, particularly during winning streaks, which inflates point spreads beyond their true value. When the Bills string together victories, oddsmakers adjust lines to account for both improved play and expected heavy public action on Buffalo. This trend reflects deeper psychological patterns within the organization. The Bills have historically shown a tendency to play down to competition levels after success, a characteristic that became particularly pronounced during their playoff drought years and persisted even as the roster improved. The coaching staff's conservative approach following wins often leads to predictable game plans that savvy opponents can exploit, while players sometimes lack the killer instinct to maintain peak performance when expectations rise. Buffalo's offensive system under Sean McDermott emphasizes ball control and field position over explosive plays, making them vulnerable to underwhelming performances when favored by significant margins after hot streaks. This trend carries the most weight when Buffalo faces divisional opponents or teams with strong defensive coordinators who have extra time to prepare, as these scenarios amplify the Bills' tendency toward conservative, predictable football.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Buffalo Bills's ATS record as after 2+ consecutive wins?
The Buffalo Bills have a 42-37-0 ATS record when playing after 2+ consecutive wins from 2014-2024. This translates to a 53.2% ATS win rate over 79 games.
Is betting on the Buffalo Bills as after 2+ consecutive wins profitable?
Yes, betting on the Buffalo Bills after 2+ consecutive wins has been profitable with a 1.5% ROI from 2014-2024. Their 53.2% ATS win rate indicates they cover the spread more often than not in these situations.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Bills' 53.2% ATS win rate after 2+ consecutive wins is above the typical 50% break-even point for spread betting. However, without specific league average data for this situation, this appears to be a slightly above-average performance.
ANALYZE This Trend
This trend is near break-even. Combine with other factors and compare odds before placing any bets.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.