Baltimore Ravens Large Favorite (-7.5+) Betting Trend

The Ravens' struggles as large favorites stem from their organizational DNA as a defensive-minded, run-heavy team that thrives in close, physical battles rather than blowout scenarios. Baltimore's methodical offensive approach under John Harbaugh often lacks the explosive passing attack needed to cover inflated spreads, particularly when opponents abandon their game plan early and force the Ravens into unfamiliar territory as a high-scoring favorite. This trend intensifies when Baltimore faces divisional opponents or teams with nothing to lose, as their conservative play-calling and emphasis on ball control naturally leads to closer margins than the betting market anticipates. The Ravens also tend to ease off the gas pedal once they establish comfortable leads, prioritizing player health and game management over style points – a coaching philosophy that consistently burns large favorite backers. The psychological element cannot be ignored either, as Baltimore has historically performed better as underdogs or small favorites where their blue-collar identity aligns with expectations. When installed as heavy chalk, the pressure to dominate often results in uncharacteristic mistakes and conservative decision-making. This trend matters most in primetime games and against AFC North rivals, where Baltimore's tendency to play down to competition is most pronounced.