Baltimore Ravens Home Underdog After a Win Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Baltimore Ravens in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home underdog after a win, the Baltimore Ravens hold a record of 12-4-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +43.2% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $7 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2015 | 3-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2016 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2017 | 4-1-0 | 0.0% | +52.7% |
| 2019 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2022 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2023 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2024 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Ravens' exceptional performance as home underdogs after victories stems from a potent combination of organizational pride and tactical advantages. Baltimore has historically thrived on being disrespected, and when oddsmakers position them as underdogs at M&T Bank Stadium following a win, it creates the perfect storm of motivation and preparation. The team's defensive identity, built around aggressive pass rushing and opportunistic secondary play, becomes particularly lethal when opponents arrive overconfident based on the betting lines. John Harbaugh's coaching staff excels at leveraging these perceived slights, using underdog status as motivational fuel while maintaining the confidence boost from their previous victory. The Ravens' physical running game and strong home-field advantage compound this effect, as visiting teams often struggle to match Baltimore's intensity when they've underestimated the challenge. The organization's culture of proving doubters wrong runs deep, from Ray Lewis era traditions to Lamar Jackson's chip-on-the-shoulder mentality. Bettors should particularly target this spot when the Ravens are catching points at home after beating quality opponents, as the line often fails to account for their psychological edge and tactical preparation advantages. This trend carries maximum value in divisional matchups and primetime games where motivation peaks.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Baltimore Ravens's ATS record as home underdog after a win?
The Baltimore Ravens have a 12-4-0 ATS record as home underdogs after a win from 2014-2024. This translates to a 75% ATS win rate over 16 games in this situation.
Is betting on the Baltimore Ravens as home underdog after a win profitable?
Yes, betting on the Ravens as home underdogs after a win has been highly profitable with a 43.2% ROI. Despite covering the spread in 75% of these situations, bettors have seen strong returns on investment.
How does this compare to the league average?
This 75% ATS rate significantly outperforms the typical 50% league average for ATS betting. The Ravens have been exceptionally reliable in this specific situation over the past decade.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.