Baltimore Ravens Away Favorite After a Loss Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Baltimore Ravens in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away favorite after a loss, the Baltimore Ravens are just 5-8-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -26.6% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +26.6%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2017 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2019 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2020 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2021 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2022 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2023 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2024 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Ravens' struggles as road favorites following losses stem from a perfect storm of psychological and strategic vulnerabilities that expose their core identity crisis. Baltimore has historically built its foundation on defensive intensity and running game dominance, but when these elements fail on the road after a defeat, the team often lacks the offensive firepower to overcome hostile environments while carrying the weight of expectations. The psychological burden proves particularly damaging for a Ravens squad that thrives on momentum and physical intimidation. Road environments naturally amplify the sting of recent losses, and when Baltimore enters as favorites, opposing teams gain extra motivation while the Ravens face pressure to validate the betting line. Their defensive-minded culture, while effective at home, translates poorly to road venues where crowd noise disrupts communication and rhythm. Lamar Jackson's mobility, though explosive, becomes less reliable in unfamiliar surroundings where pocket presence and quick decision-making matter most. The Ravens' offensive line struggles have been magnified in these spots, creating a cascade effect where their ground game stalls and Jackson faces increased pressure to carry the team through the air. This trend carries the most weight when Baltimore travels to divisional opponents or faces teams with strong home-field advantages, particularly in primetime or playoff-implication scenarios where emotional stakes run highest.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Baltimore Ravens's ATS record as away favorite after a loss?
The Baltimore Ravens have a 5-8-0 ATS record as away favorites after a loss from 2014-2024. This translates to a 38.5% ATS win rate in this specific situation.
Is betting on the Baltimore Ravens as away favorite after a loss profitable?
No, betting on the Ravens as away favorites after a loss is not profitable. This trend shows a -26.6% ROI with a 0.0% straight-up win rate, indicating significant losses for bettors.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is well below league average, as most NFL teams typically cover around 50% ATS. The Ravens' 38.5% ATS rate and negative ROI in this situation represents poor value compared to standard betting expectations.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.